A probability distribution is a rule or function that shows the probability of every possible value of a random variable. It describes how the total probability is distributed among all possible outcomes of a random experiment.
Question 1: Suppose we toss two dice. Make a table of the probabilities for the sum of the dice. The possibilities are: 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12.
Solution:
Probability Distribution Table
X P(x) 2 1/36 3 2/36 4 3/36 5 4/36 6 5/36 7 6/36 8 5/36 9 4/36 10 3/36 11 2/36 12 1/36
Question 2: The number of old people living in houses on a randomly selected city block is described by the following probability distribution.
| Number of adults | Probability |
| (x) | P(x) |
| 3 | 0.50 |
| 4 | 0.25 |
| 5 | 0.10 |
| 6 | ? |
What is the probability that 6 or more old people live in a randomly selected house?
Solution:
Sum of all the p(probability) is equal to 1
Probability that six or more old peoples live in a house,
= 1 - (0.50 + 0.25 + 0.10)
= 0.15Thus, probability that six or more old peoples live in a house is equal to 0.15
Example 3: When a fair coin is tossed 8 times, then the Probability of:
- Exactly Four Heads
- At least Four Heads
Solution:
Every coin tossed can be considered as the Bernoulli trial. Suppose X be the number of heads in this experiment,
n = 8
p = 1/2So,
P(X = x) = nCx pn - x (1 - p)x, x = 0, 1, 2, 3,...n
P(X = x) = 8Cxp8 - x(1 - p)xP(Exactly 4 Heads)
= P(x = 4)
= 8C4 p4 (1 - p)4
= 8!/4!4!(1/2)4(1/2)4
= (8 × 7 × 6 × 5/2 × 3 × 4) × (1/16) × (1/16)
= 420/1536
= 35/128Thus, the probability of Exactly Four Heads in a Eight Coin Toss experiment is 35/128
P(At Least 4 Heads)
= P(X >= 4)
= P(X = 4) + P(X = 5) + P(X = 6)+ P(X = 7) + P(X = 8).
= 8C4 p4 (1 - p)4 + 8C5 p3 (1 - p)5 + 8C6 p2 (1 - p)6 + 8C7 p1(1 - p)7 + 8C8(1 - p)8
= 8!/4!4!(1/2)8 + 8!/5!3!(1/2)8 + 8!/6!2!(1/2)8 + 8!/7!1!(1/2)8 + 8!/8!(1/2)8
= 8 × 7 × 6 × 5/4 × 3 × 2 × 256 + 8 × 7 × 6/3 × 2 × 256 + 8/256 + 1/256
= 1680/6144 + 336/1536 + 9/256
= 70/256 + 56/256 + 9/256
= 135/256Thus, the probability of Atleast Four Heads in a Eight Coin Toss experiment is 135/256.
Example 4: Calculate the probability of getting 10 heads, if a coin is tossed 12 times.
Solution:
Given,
- Number of Trials(n) = 12
- Number of Success(r) = 10 (getting 10 heads)
- Probability of Single Head(p) = 1/2 = 0.5
To find nCr = n!/r!(n – r)!
= 12!/10!(12 – 10)!
= (12 × 11 × 10!)/10!2!
= 66To find pr = (0.5)10 = 0.00097665625
So, the probability of getting 10 heads is:P(x) = nCr pr (1 - p)n - r
= 66 × 0.00097665625 × (1 – 0.5)(12-10)
= 0.0644593125 × (0.5)2
= 0.016114828125The probability of getting 10 heads = 0.0161...
Example 5: Suppose that each time you take a free throw shot, you have a 35% chance of making it. If you take 25 shots, what is the probability of making exactly 15 of them?
Solution:
Given,
- n = 25
- r = 15
- p = 0.35
- q = 0.65
Compute
C25,15 (0.35)15 (0.65)10 = 0.165There is a 16.5% chance of making exactly 15 shots.
Example 6: There is a total of 5 people in the room, what is the possibility that someone in the room shares His / Her birthday with at least someone else?
Solution:
P(s) = p(At least someone shares with someone else)
P(d) = p(No one share their birthday everyone has a different birthday)
p(s) + p(d) = 1 or 100%
p(s) =100% - p(d)There are 5 people in the room, the possibility that no one shares his/her birthday
= (365 × 364 × 363 × 362 × 361) ⁄ (365)5
= (365! ⁄ (365 - 5)!) ⁄ 3655
= (365! ⁄ 360!) ⁄ 3655
= 0.9728p(d) = 0,9728 or 97.28%
p(s) = 100% - p(d)
= 100% - 97.28% or 1 - 0.9728
= 2.72% ≈ 0.0272
Practice Questions
Q1: Find the Probability Distribution of the the Number of Heads when two coins are tossed Simultaneously.
Q2: What is the Probability Distribution of the of number of Kings when three cards are drawn at random.
Q3: A die is thrown twice. Find the probability of getting a number of sixes.
Q4: A coin is thrown until a tail appears or the the head appears three times continuously. Find the probability distribution of tosses.