If you’re building a NAS this year, Black Friday will cut the price of the box and barely touch the drives. That matters, because the drives are where most of your money goes. Four WD Red Plus 10TB disks cost $1,839.96 on Amazon today, nearly three times the UGREEN DXP4800 Plus they’d go into. So the Black Friday NAS deals worth waiting for are mostly enclosures, while hard drive deals this season are about catching a listing back at its September price, not a record low.
We have logged the same Amazon listings since late September while keeping our NAS hard drive rankings and the Plex and Jellyfin NAS picks in stock, and those sourcing logs are the price history behind this page. Below are seven NAS boxes and five drives, each with the lowest price we recorded, today’s price, a buy-below target and a verdict. Every Amazon price here was pulled from Amazon’s product feed on October 25, 2026, and the table dates say when each earlier reading was taken.
Black Friday NAS deals to wait for, and the few to buy now
Five of the twelve picks sit at the lowest price we’ve logged, but four of those have simply never moved, and the only one that actually dropped is an external drive you’d have to take apart. The other seven are 2% to 18% above their low, which is why most verdicts below say wait. Sorted by how confident we are in the call, this is what you should do with each one:
- Buy now, cheapest new terabyte on the page: the Seagate Expansion Desktop 16TB at about $32 per TB, if you’re willing to shuck it and accept a one-year warranty that shucking may void.
- Fair now, 8-core 4-bay: the TerraMaster F4-425 Pro has read $594.99 every time we checked since September, and nothing else here gives you an i3-N305 and dual 5GbE for that.
- Wait, best all-round 4-bay: the UGREEN DXP4800 Plus is $62 above what NASCompares listed it at last Black Friday.
- Wait, 6-bay with a PCIe slot: the QNAP TS-664 sold for $679 on October 10 and is $799 now.
- Wait, NAS hard drives: the WD Red Plus 10TB is up 13.6% since late September, and the Red Pro 16TB and IronWolf Pro 20TB are both 6% or more above their lows.
Black Friday falls on November 27 this year and Cyber Monday on November 30. You will find the numbers behind each verdict in the two price tables, and each pick gets its own section telling you who it suits, when to pass, and the price at which we would stop waiting.
Why hard drive prices won’t drop much this Black Friday
Drive makers have nothing spare to discount. Western Digital told investors earlier this year that it was “pretty much sold out for calendar ’26”, with its output committed to datacenter customers. Seagate’s nearline capacity is in the same position. A sale needs surplus stock, so the October Prime event already showed what to expect: the price tracker Terabytewise logged the cheapest new NAS-rated CMR drive at $27.50 per TB on both event days and $28.33 the day after (its floor counts CMR listings of any brand, enterprise drives included, which is why our picks sit well above it), and it reported that the real cuts landed on NAS enclosures, SSDs and accessories rather than internal drives.
Our own readings point the same way. None of the new internal NAS drives we track is cheaper today than when we first logged it, and the WD Red Plus 10TB went from $404.99 in late September to $459.99 today. So treat a drive “deal” this month as a return to a September price, and do not hold off on capacity you need now in the hope of a 2024-style discount. The boxes are a different story, because NASCompares recorded UGREEN cutting its NASync range by roughly 9% to 20% off regular prices last Black Friday, and the current listings still carry list prices well above what they sell for.
How we tracked these prices
Every Amazon price on this page comes from Amazon’s Creators API, the product data feed Amazon gives its affiliates, queried for the exact ASIN we link. Each time we refreshed one of our NAS guides, the result went into that guide’s sourcing log with a date, which gives each pick two to seven readings between September 25 and October 25. That window is short, so “lowest we recorded” means the lowest in our log, not an all-time low. Last year’s Black Friday prices come from NASCompares’ UGREEN Black Friday 2025 roundup, and we found no comparable figure for the Synology, TerraMaster or QNAP picks, so their rows leave that out.
Specs come from each maker’s product page or datasheet, cross-checked in the hub guides where these products were first picked. This page does not benchmark anything; it tells you whether today’s price is worth paying for what you need. Amazon’s strikethrough list price is ignored on purpose, because on every listing that shows one, it sits above any price we saw the item sell at.
NAS price history for every pick
Read “lowest recorded” as a price someone could already pay this autumn, which makes it the realistic Black Friday target. Prices are for the diskless box:
| NAS (diskless) | Bays | Lowest we recorded | Black Friday 2025 | Oct 25, 2026 | Buy below | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UGREEN DXP4800 Plus | 4 + 2 M.2 | $619.98 (Sep 25) | $594.99, or $559.99 at 20% off | $656.99 | $600 | Wait |
| TerraMaster F4-425 Pro | 4 + 3 M.2 | $594.99 (every reading) | not tracked | $594.99 | $560 | Fair now |
| Synology DS925+ | 4 + 2 M.2 | $756.49 (Oct 18) | not tracked | $771.39 | $750 | Wait |
| UGREEN DXP2800 | 2 + 2 M.2 | $356.99 (Oct 10) | $319.99 | $389.99 | $340 | Wait |
| Synology DS225+ | 2 | $364.99 (every reading, Oct 21 to 25) | not tracked | $364.99 | $365 | Fair now |
| UGREEN DXP8800 Plus | 8 + 2 M.2 | $1,369.99 (every in-stock reading) | $1,274.99 | $1,369.99 | $1,275 | Wait |
| QNAP TS-664 | 6 + 2 M.2 | $679.00 (Oct 10) | not tracked | $799.00 | $680 | Wait |
UGREEN’s rows are the clearest signal on the page, because we have last year’s Black Friday price for all three and all three are $62 to $95 above it today. The QNAP TS-664 moved the most inside our own window, up 17.7% in eight days in October, which usually means a coupon or a third-party seller ended rather than a list-price change. The TerraMaster and the DS225+ have not moved at all, so their verdicts rest on what you get for the money, not on a dip we have seen.
1. UGREEN DXP4800 Plus
If you want one 4-bay to wait for, make it the DXP4800 Plus, because it is the one with a known Black Friday floor. You get a 5-core Pentium Gold 8505 with Quick Sync for Plex and Jellyfin transcoding, 8GB of DDR5 that grows to 64GB and two M.2 slots. It also has both a 10GbE and a 2.5GbE port, which is a rare combination under $700.
Our log shows $619.98 on September 25 and $656.99 at every check since September 29. NASCompares listed it at $594.99 last Black Friday, with a separate 20%-off offer at $559.99. UGREEN’s Amazon listing still shows a $729.99 list price, so a 20% cut from that would land at $583.99, between last year’s two figures.
- Pick it if: you want one box for Plex or Jellyfin, Docker and backups, with 10GbE for a fast desktop or a switch you already own.
- Pass if: you only need file shares and phone backups, because a 2-bay with two big drives costs less in total.
- Watch for: bundles with a UPS, which last year sold at $639.99 and can hide a smaller discount on the NAS itself.
We’d buy at anything under $600. At $656.99 it’s still the pick in the $650 to $800 tier of our 4-bay NAS price tiers, so if your drives are already sitting on a shelf, waiting a month costs you nothing but the month. Check the live DXP4800 Plus price on Amazon.
2. TerraMaster F4-425 Pro
On raw hardware per dollar, TerraMaster’s F4-425 Pro wins, and it is the one 4-bay here we wouldn’t hold out on. An 8-core Core i3-N305, 8GB of DDR5 (32GB maximum), three M.2 slots and two 5GbE ports cost $62 less than the DXP4800 Plus today.
Every reading since September 29 has been exactly $594.99, against a $699.99 list price, so it’s priced where it is on purpose rather than riding a temporary coupon. That stability is also the risk: we have no Black Friday history for this model, and it could sit at $594.99 straight through Cyber Monday.
- Pick it if: you’ll run several containers or a couple of VMs, where eight cores beat five.
- Pass if: you want 10GbE, since its two 5GbE ports need a multi-gig switch to pay off.
- Watch for: TerraMaster’s own store, which listed the 16GB N350 F4-425 Pro $120 below Amazon during our 4-bay research.
A cut of 20% off its $699.99 list, the top of UGREEN’s own Black Friday offers last year, would put it near $560, and that’s our buy-below line. At $594.99 it is already a fair price for you to pay. Check the live F4-425 Pro price on Amazon.
3. Synology DS925+
Pick Synology’s DS925+ if you want DSM and its backup apps. It is close enough to its October low that a small Black Friday cut makes it a buy. It runs a 4-core, 8-thread Ryzen V1500B with 4GB of ECC memory (32GB maximum), four bays, two M.2 slots and two 2.5GbE ports.
Its price has barely moved: $772.28 in late September, $756.49 on October 18 and $771.39 today. The bigger change is in what you can put in it. DSM 7.3 lets 2025 models like this one build storage pools on drives that aren’t on Synology’s compatibility list, so the WD and Seagate drives below now work for HDD pools, though M.2 pools and cache still need listed SSDs.
- Pick it if: you want Active Backup, Hyper Backup and snapshot replication without assembling them yourself.
- Pass if: you transcode video, because the V1500B has no integrated GPU for Plex or Jellyfin hardware transcoding.
- Watch for: 4GB of RAM, which is tight once you add Docker containers, so budget for a memory upgrade.
Under $750 we would buy it, which is just below its October low. At $771 the extra money you pay over the F4-425 Pro buys software and ECC memory, not speed. Check the live DS925+ price on Amazon.
4. UGREEN DXP2800
For a first 2-bay, the DXP2800 is worth waiting for, because last year’s Black Friday price was $70 under today’s. An Intel N100 with Quick Sync, 8GB of DDR5 (16GB maximum), two M.2 slots and a 2.5GbE port make it the cheapest box here that you can rely on for video transcoding.
Our log has it at $382.98 and $389.99 in September, $356.99 on October 10 from the product feed with one unit left (the live page showed $389.99 the same day, so treat that low with caution), and $389.99 again since. NASCompares had it at $319.99 last Black Friday. A $70 gap on a $390 box is 18%, the biggest relative saving among the boxes we have history for.
- Pick it if: it’s your first NAS and you want a mirrored pair, phone backups and a Jellyfin server.
- Pass if: you expect to need more than two drives within two years, since adding bays means buying a second box.
- Watch for: the single SO-DIMM slot, which caps it at 16GB however many containers you add.
Under $340, below its October low, it becomes an easy call. Our 2-bay NAS guide compares it with the DS225+ and the TerraMaster F2-425 if you’d like to see the full field first. Check the live DXP2800 price on Amazon.
5. Synology DS225+
Synology’s DS225+ is the cheapest way into DSM with a 2.5GbE port, and at $364.99 it is fair if DSM is the reason you’re buying. It uses a quad-core Celeron J4125 with 2GB of DDR4 (6GB maximum), two bays and one 1GbE plus one 2.5GbE port, with no M.2 slots.
Every reading we have, from October 21 to October 25, was $364.99, so there’s no dip to aim for and the buy-below line is simply today’s price. What makes it a harder sell is the hardware. Synology’s own apps stopped transcoding HEVC, AVC and VC-1 in DSM 7.2.2, the J4125 dates from 2019, and the DXP2800 costs $25 more with a newer CPU, four times the memory and two M.2 slots.
- Pick it if: you already run Synology elsewhere and want the same backup tools at home.
- Pass if: you want a media server, where the DXP2800 is the better buy at nearly the same price.
- Watch for: bundle listings with drives included, which we’ve seen at $981 to $1,825, so price them against the bare box plus your own drives.
Any Black Friday cut is a bonus here, not something to plan around. Check the live DS225+ price on Amazon.
6. UGREEN DXP8800 Plus
For a big library, the DXP8800 Plus is worth waiting on, because last Black Friday took $95 off it and nothing has moved since. It runs a 10-core Core i5-1235U with Quick Sync, 8GB of DDR5 to 64GB, eight bays plus two M.2 slots, two 10GbE ports and two Thunderbolt 4 ports.
Every in-stock check since September 29 read $1,369.99 against a $1,509.99 list price, and NASCompares listed it at $1,274.99 last year. That box price is the small part of the decision, though. Eight WD Red Pro 16TB drives at today’s $714.99 add $5,719.92, so the DXP8800 Plus is only 19% of a full build, and a $95 discount moves the total by under 1.5%.
- Pick it if: you need more than 60TB usable or plan to grow a RAID 6 or RAIDZ2 pool over several years.
- Pass if: four bays of 16TB or 20TB drives cover you, which costs far less than filling eight.
- Watch for: drive cost, since buying it half-populated and adding drives later is how most people make this box affordable.
We would buy at $1,275 or less. If eight bays is more than you need this year, the 8-bay NAS comparison covers the cheaper ways to get there. Check the live DXP8800 Plus price on Amazon.
7. QNAP TS-664
QNAP’s TS-664 is the 6-bay to wait on, because we saw it listed for $120 less about two weeks ago. A Celeron N5095 with hardware transcoding, 8GB of DDR4 (16GB maximum), six bays, two M.2 slots, two 2.5GbE ports and a PCIe Gen3 x2 slot leave room for a 10GbE card later.
On October 10 it was $679.00 with two units left, then $799.00 on October 18 and at every check since. Two extra bays over the 4-bay picks matter more than usual this year. With drive prices where they are, RAID 6 across six 10TB drives gives you 40TB usable, the same as RAID 5 across five, with a second drive of protection.
- Pick it if: you want six bays and the option of 10GbE later through the PCIe slot.
- Pass if: you transcode 4K HEVC often, since Jellyfin’s own guidance favours newer Intel chips than the N5095.
- Watch for: stock, because the October dip, with two units left at $679, had ended by October 18.
Under $680 it is a buy. Short on shelf space and have a rack? The short-depth rackmount NAS picks cover QNAP’s 1U and 2U versions of the same platform. Check the live TS-664 price on Amazon.
Hard drive deals: price history and cost per TB
Price per terabyte is the only fair way for you to compare drives of different sizes, and it is the column to watch through Cyber Monday. The four internal drives are CMR, which is what you want in any RAID or ZFS pool, while the drive inside the Expansion varies by batch:
| Drive | Lowest we recorded | Oct 25, 2026 | Per TB today | Warranty | Buy below | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seagate Expansion Desktop 16TB (to shuck) | $514.99 (Oct 18) | $514.99, scarce | $32.19 | 1 year (Americas), may be void once shucked | $515 | Buy now |
| WD Red Pro 16TB | $670.00 (Sep 27) | $714.99 | $44.69 | 5 years | $680 | Wait |
| Seagate IronWolf Pro 20TB | $829.99 (Oct 10) | $879.99, scarce | $44.00 | 5 years + Rescue | $830 | Wait |
| WD Red Plus 10TB | $404.99 (Sep 25, 27) | $459.99 | $46.00 | 3 years | $410 | Wait |
| WD Red Plus 6TB | $299.99 (Oct 24) | $299.99 | $50.00 | 3 years | $300 | Only for small pairs |
The table says more about the market than about any one drive, and three readings change what you should buy:
- New NAS drives of 10TB and up cost about the same per TB: they cluster between $44 and $46, so choose on warranty and workload rating rather than brand.
- Small drives are the worst value: a mirrored pair of 6TB drives costs $100 per usable TB, against about $89 for a pair of 16TB Red Pros.
- Anything under $40 per TB comes with conditions: the shuckable external at $32.19, or a renewed Seagate Exos 26TB at $799.00 ($30.73 per TB), backed by the seller’s own warranty rather than Seagate’s, so check the listing’s terms.
If a renewed drive tempts you, our guide to whether recertified drives are worth it covers how to test one before it joins a pool, since a seller warranty is only as good as the seller.
8. Seagate Expansion Desktop 16TB
Seagate’s Expansion Desktop is the cheapest new terabyte on this page, and the only drive we’d buy today. At $514.99 for 16TB it works out to $32.19 per TB, about $12 less per terabyte than any new internal NAS drive we track, as long as you’re comfortable taking the drive out of its USB enclosure.
Our readings show $524.99 on October 10 and $514.99 since October 18, sold by a third-party seller with one unit left each time, so expect this listing to change. The catch is what you give up. Seagate warrants the Expansion Desktop for one year in the Americas, against five years on the Red Pro, and opening the enclosure may void that cover. The drive inside also varies by batch: earlier high-capacity units carried Exos drives, and 2025 production is reported to use Barracuda-class disks instead.
- Pick it if: you’re filling a 4-bay for media you could re-rip, where four of these save $800 over four Red Pro 16TB drives.
- Pass if: the pool holds the only copy of anything, because a one-year warranty and an unknown drive model are a poor base for it.
- Watch for: the model number after shucking, which tells you whether you got a NAS-class drive or a desktop one.
Buy at $515 or less, and run a full SMART test before trusting it. Our external drive guide collects what owners have found inside Seagate and WD desktop drives. Check the live Expansion Desktop 16TB price on Amazon.
9. WD Red Pro 16TB
For most 4-bay builds, the Red Pro 16TB is the drive we’d put in, and it is $35 above the price we’d wait for. It’s a CMR helium drive at 7200 RPM, rated for 550TB a year of workload and covered for five years, and WD rates it at 20 dBA at idle, which matters in a box that lives in your office.
You could have paid $693.35 on September 25 and $670.00 two days later; it has been $714.99 for most of October, peaking at $718.48 on October 18. Amazon itself sells it, which helps if you ever need to return a dead-on-arrival drive. At $44.69 per TB it sits within a dollar of the IronWolf Pro 20TB, so the choice between them is about bay count, not price.
- Pick it if: you want five years of cover and a quiet drive for a 4-bay or 6-bay pool.
- Pass if: your bays are limited and you need the most terabytes per slot, where the 20TB IronWolf Pro wins.
- Watch for: noise in a full chassis, since the 20 dBA rating is one idle drive and four seeking drives in a plastic box are louder.
Our buy-below line is $680, close to its September low. Our CMR vs SMR explainer covers why the cheaper desktop drives in the same capacity are not a substitute in a RAID pool. Check the live Red Pro 16TB price on Amazon.
10. Seagate IronWolf Pro 20TB
When bays are scarce, the IronWolf Pro 20TB wins, and it is the cheapest new terabyte among the internal drives here at $44.00. It’s CMR, helium-filled and 7200 RPM, rated for 550TB a year, with a five-year warranty plus three years of Seagate’s Rescue data recovery service.
Our log has it at $829.99 on October 10 and $879.99 from October 18 on, sold by a third-party seller with limited stock each time. Rescue is the real differentiator, because WD’s NAS drives don’t bundle data recovery. If a drive dies outside a redundant pool, three years of recovery come included at the lowest new price per TB among the internal drives here.
- Pick it if: you have two or four bays and want the most capacity from each.
- Pass if: you’d rather buy from Amazon directly, since the Red Pro 20TB at $907.47 is sold by Amazon for $27.48 more.
- Watch for: the condition line, because one 24TB IronWolf Pro listing in our log was a renewed drive priced near a new 20TB.
Buy at $830 or less, its October 10 price. Check the live IronWolf Pro 20TB price on Amazon.
11. WD Red Plus 10TB
On September 25 the Red Plus 10TB was our value pick, and today it is the drive that rose the most. It’s a CMR, air-filled 7200 RPM drive with 512MB of cache, rated for 180TB a year in NAS boxes of up to eight bays, with a three-year warranty.
Our readings show $404.99 on September 25 and 27, $455.75 through mid-October and $459.99 now, a 13.6% rise in a month. At $46.00 per TB it now costs more per terabyte than the Red Pro 16TB, which has a longer warranty and a higher workload rating. That flips the usual advice, and unless you specifically need 10TB drives to match an existing pool, the 16TB is the better buy at today’s prices.
- Pick it if: you’re adding to a pool of 10TB drives, or it drops back near its September price.
- Pass if: you’re starting a new pool, where the Red Pro 16TB gives you more per dollar today.
- Watch for: the model number WD100EFGX, since older 10TB Red Plus model numbers on Amazon are a different, older drive.
We would buy under $410. If it is not back there by Cyber Monday, buy the 16TB Red Pro instead. Check the live Red Plus 10TB price on Amazon.
12. WD Red Plus 6TB
You’ll only want the Red Plus 6TB if you need a small pair, because it is the smallest new CMR NAS drive we could find in normal stock on Amazon. The WD60EFPX spins at 5400 RPM with 256MB of cache, is rated for 180TB a year and carries a three-year warranty, and WD rates it at 23 dBA at idle.
Both of our readings were $299.99, which is $50.00 per TB, the worst value on the page. The 4TB Red Plus it replaced in our guides went out of stock in October. The 4TB listings left were either down to one unit or Japan-market packs, so small capacities are the first to vanish in this shortage.
- Pick it if: a mirrored pair of 6TB covers your photos and documents and you want the lowest outlay today.
- Pass if: you’ll fill more than 6TB within two years, since replacing both drives later costs more than buying bigger now.
- Watch for: Japan-market “AJP” packs, which we’ve seen on the 4TB model at a lower price but with an unclear US warranty.
There is no dip for you to wait for here; $300 is the line. Check the live Red Plus 6TB price on Amazon.
What a full NAS build costs at Black Friday prices
Add the box and the drives together and you can see where a Black Friday saving actually comes from. These three builds use picks from this page, priced today and at the lowest reading we logged for each part:
| Build | Raw capacity | Oct 25, 2026 | At our lowest readings | Box share of total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DXP2800 + 2x Red Pro 16TB (mirror) | 32TB | $1,819.97 | $1,696.99 | 21% |
| DXP4800 Plus + 4x Red Plus 10TB | 40TB | $2,496.95 | $2,239.94 | 26% |
| DS925+ + 4x IronWolf Pro 20TB | 80TB | $4,291.35 | $4,076.45 | 18% |
In every build you pay 74% to 82% of the bill for drives. On the DXP4800 Plus build, a 20% Black Friday discount on the box saves $131.40, while the drives returning to their September price would save $220. So if you’re buying both, time the drives first. Buy them when a listing drops back toward its low, which can happen any week, and let the box wait for the dated sale, where discounts on enclosures are far more likely.
Which Black Friday NAS deal fits your build
Start from how many drives you need and what the NAS will run, then use the price lines above to decide when to buy:
- Two drives, backups and a media server: the DXP2800 under $340 with two Red Pro 16TB drives under $680 each.
- Two drives, Synology software: the DS225+ at today’s price, because there’s no dip to wait for.
- Four drives, Plex or Jellyfin plus Docker: the DXP4800 Plus under $600, or the F4-425 Pro now if you’d rather have eight cores than 10GbE.
- Four drives, DSM and ECC memory: the DS925+ under $750, filled with IronWolf Pro 20TB drives under $830.
- Six or eight drives: the TS-664 under $680 if you want a PCIe slot, or the DXP8800 Plus under $1,275 for two 10GbE ports.
- The lowest cost per terabyte, with risk: shucked Expansion Desktop 16TB drives at $515 for media you can replace.
If you’re still deciding between building your own and buying a box, our DIY NAS vs prebuilt comparison prices three prebuilt boxes against DIY builds, power and licences included. Whichever way you go, set the buy-below prices as alerts now, because the listings that dip tend to sell through within days, as the QNAP’s $679 price had by October 18.
