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2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota

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2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota

 2006
November 4, 2008 (2008-11-04)
2010 

All 8 Minnesota seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic (DFL) Republican
Last election 5 seats, 52.90% 3 seats, 42.43%
Seats before 5 3
Seats won 5 3
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 1,612,480 1,069,015
Percentage 57.53% 38.14%
Swing Increase 4.63% Decrease 4.29%

Map of Minnesota showing all eight districts

The 2008 Minnesota U.S. House of Representatives elections took place on November 4, 2008. All eight congressional seats that make up the state's delegation were contested. Representatives were elected for two-year terms; those elected served in the 111th United States Congress from January 4, 2009, until January 3, 2011. Primary elections were held on September 9 2008.

The 2008 presidential election, 2008 Senate election (for the seat held by Republican Norm Coleman), and 2008 Minnesota Legislature elections occurred on the same date, as did many local elections and ballot initiatives.

The 110th congressional delegation from the U.S. state of Minnesota had three Republicans and five Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party members (DFLers). Six were men; two were women. Three were freshmen in the 110th congress. The veterans ranged in experience from Jim Oberstar with 33 years of experience and the chairman of the Transportation Committee, to John Kline with just four years of experience.

Overview

[edit]

Statewide

[edit]
Party Candidates Votes[1] Seats
No. % No. +/– %
Democratic-Farmer-Labor 8 1,612,480 57.53 5 Steady 62.50
Republican 8 1,069,015 38.14 3 Steady 37.50
Independence 4 116,835 4.17 0 Steady 0.0
Write-in 8 4,284 0.15 0 Steady 0.0
Total 28 2,802,614 100.0 8 Steady 100.0
Popular vote
Democratic
57.53%
Republican
38.14%
Independence
4.17%
Other
0.15%
House seats
Democratic
62.50%
Republican
37.50%

By district

[edit]

Results of the 2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota by district:

District Democratic Republican Others Total Result
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1207,75362.50%109,45332.93%15,1944.57%332,400100.0%Democratic hold
District 2164,09342.55%220,92457.29%6390.16%385,656100.0%Republican hold
District 3150,78740.85%178,93248.48%39,38510.67%369,104100.0%Republican hold
District 4216,26768.44%98,93631.31%8150.26%316,018100.0%Democratic hold
District 5228,77670.88%71,02022.00%22,9517.12%322,747100.0%Democratic hold
District 6175,78643.43%187,81746.41%41,12210.15%404,725100.0%Republican hold
District 7227,18772.20%87,06227.67%4310.14%314,680100.0%Democratic hold
District 8241,83167.69%114,87132.15%5820.16%357,284100.0%Democratic hold
Total1,612,48057.53%1,069,01538.14%121,1194.32%2,802,614100.0%

District 1

[edit]
2008 Minnesota's 1st congressional district election

 2006
2010 
 
Nominee Tim Walz Brian J. Davis
Party Democratic (DFL) Republican
Popular vote 207,753 109,453
Percentage 62.5% 32.9%


Walz:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Walz:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Davis:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Tim Walz
Democratic (DFL)

Elected U.S. Representative

Tim Walz
Democratic (DFL)

This district extended across southern Minnesota from the border with South Dakota to the border of Wisconsin. Incumbent Democrat Tim Walz, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was elected with 53% of the vote in 2006, defeating 6-term Republican Gil Gutknecht in somewhat of a surprise victory. The district had a PVI of R+1.[2]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Walz, a former teacher and command sergeant major in the National Guard,[3] had no opponent in the race for the DFL nomination for the seat in the September 12, 2008 primary election.

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary election[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Tim Walz (incumbent) 20,998 100.0
Total votes 20,998 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Brian J. Davis, Mayo Clinic physician[5][6]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary election[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian J. Davis 17,196 66.7
Republican Dick Day 8,480 33.0
Total votes 25,676 100.0

Independence primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Gregory Mikkelson, small business owner, farmer, nominee for this seat in 2004, Green nominee for this seat in 2002 and Republican candidate in 2006

Results

[edit]
Independence primary election[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Independence Gregory Mikkelson 1,043 100.0
Total votes 1,043 100.0

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[15] Likely D November 6, 2008
Rothenberg[16] Safe D November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Lean D November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[18] Safe D November 7, 2008
CQ Politics[19] Likely D November 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Walz won a second term, garnering 62.5% of the vote.[20]

Minnesota's 1st congressional district election, 2008[21]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Tim Walz (incumbent) 207,753 62.5
Republican Brian Davis 109,453 32.9
Independence Gregory Mikkelson 14,904 4.5
Write-in 290 0.1
Total votes 332,400 100.0
Democratic (DFL) hold

Finances

[edit]
Campaigns
[edit]
Candidate (party) Raised Spent Cash on hand
Tim Walz (DFL) $2,729,819 $2,704,466 $30,528
Brian Davis (R) $849,200 $846,278 $2,922
Gregory Mikkelson (I) Unreported
Outside Spending
[edit]
Candidate (party) Supported Opposed
Tim Walz (DFL) $57,889 $0
Brian Davis (R) $31,301 $0
Gregory Mikkelson (I) $0 $0

District 2

[edit]
2008 Minnesota's 2nd congressional district election

 2006
2010 
 
Nominee John Kline Steve Sarvi
Party Republican Democratic (DFL)
Popular vote 220,924 164,093
Percentage 57.3% 42.5%

Precinct results
Kline:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      >90%
Sarvi:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      >90%
Tie:      50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

John Kline
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

John Kline
Republican

This district spans the width of the entire southern metro area and contains all of Carver, Scott, Le Sueur, Goodhue and Rice counties and most of Dakota County. Incumbent Republican John Kline, who had represented the district since 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 56.2% of the vote in 2006. The district had a PVI of R+3.[2]

Republican primary

[edit]

Republican John Kline held on to the second district seat in 2006, defeating DFL challenger, former FBI agent Coleen Rowley. The district Republican lean, Kline's unwavering support for Bush and the Iraq War did not make him appear too vulnerable to a challenger in 2008.[22]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

On October 4, 2007, Iraq War veteran Steve Sarvi announced he would challenge Kline for the seat. His experience also included being mayor of Watertown, Minnesota and city administrator for Victoria, Minnesota. He believed that a change in U.S. policy in Iraq was needed.[23] On May 3, Sarvi was endorsed by the 2nd District DFL party.[24]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Dan Powers, construction contractor

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
John Kline (R)
Steve Sarvi (DFL)

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Labor unions

Organizations

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[15] Likely R November 6, 2008
Rothenberg[16] Safe R November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Safe R November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[18] Safe R November 7, 2008
CQ Politics[19] Likely R November 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Kline won garnering 57.3% of the vote.[20]

Minnesota's 2nd congressional district election, 2008[21]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Kline (incumbent) 220,924 57.3
Democratic (DFL) Steve Sarvi 164,093 42.5
Write-in 639 0.2
Total votes 385,656 100.0
Republican hold

Finances

[edit]
Campaigns
[edit]
Candidate (party) Raised Spent Cash on hand
John Kline (R) $1,464,906 $1,484,962 $0
Steve Sarvi (DFL) $559,473 $559,474 $0
Outside Spending
[edit]
Candidate (party) Supported Opposed
John Kline (R) $3,287 $4,417
Steve Sarvi (DFL) $20,012 $0

District 3

[edit]
2008 Minnesota's 3rd congressional district election

 2006
2010 
 
Nominee Erik Paulsen Ashwin Madia David Dillon
Party Republican Democratic (DFL) Independence
Popular vote 178,932 150,787 38,970
Percentage 48.5% 40.9% 10.7%

Precinct results
Paulsen:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Madia:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Jim Ramstad
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Erik Paulsen
Republican

This district encompasses the suburbs of Hennepin County to the north, west, and south of Minneapolis. Incumbent Republican Jim Ramstad, who had represented the district since 1991, announced on September 17, 2007, that he would not seek re-election in 2008.[28] He was re-elected with 64.9% of the vote in 2006, and the district had a PVI of Even.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Erik Paulsen, state representative from district 42B since 1995, and former Minnesota House Majority Leader (2003–2007)

Declined

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary election[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Erik Paulsen 14,187 100.0
Total votes 14,187 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Pro-business and centrist state senator Terri Bonoff entered the race as the favourite to win the nomination, raising about $300,000 in the first several months of her campaign. However political newcomer (and former Republican) Ashwin Madia was able to defeat her at the nominating convention, prompting her withdrawal.[29]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Ashwin Madia

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary election[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Ashwin Madia 20,830 100.0
Total votes 20,830 100.0

Independence primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • David Dillon, businessman[39]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Steev Ramsdell, massage therapy center operator

Results

[edit]
Independence primary election[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Independence David Dillon 674 72.8
Independence Steev Ramsdell 252 27.2
Total votes 926 100.0

Constitution primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Harley Swarm, mechanical engineer[40][41]

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Erik Paulsen (R)

Polling

[edit]
Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Erik
Paulsen (R)
Ashwin
Madia (DFL)
David
Dillon (IP)
Undecided
SurveyUSA[44] October 29–30, 2008 647 ± 3.9% 46% 41% 10% 3%
SurveyUSA[45] October 26–27, 2008 643 ± 3.9% 45% 44% 9% 2%
SurveyUSA[46] October 6–7, 2008 634 ± 4.0% 43% 46% 8% 3%
Bennett, Petts and Normington (D-DCCC)[47] September 29–30, 2008 400 ± 4.9% 39% 44% 8% 9%
SurveyUSA[48] August 26–28, 2008 636 ± 4.0% 44% 41% 10% 6%

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[15] Tossup November 6, 2008
Rothenberg[16] Lean D (flip) November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Lean R November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[18] Tossup November 7, 2008
CQ Politics[19] Tossup November 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Paulsen won the 2008 race, garnering 48.5% of the vote.[20]

Minnesota's 3rd congressional district election, 2008[21]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Erik Paulsen 178,932 48.5
Democratic (DFL) Ashwin Madia 150,787 40.9
Independence David Dillon 38,970 10.6
Write-in 415 0.1
Total votes 369,104 100.0
Republican hold

Finances

[edit]
Campaigns
[edit]
Candidate (party) Raised Spent Cash on hand
Erik Paulsen (R) $2,781,437 $2,744,927 $36,509
Ashwin Madia (DFL) $2,734,890 $2,726,040 $8,849
David Dillon (I) $66,900 $66,896 $94,285
Outside Spending
[edit]
Candidate (party) Supported Opposed
Erik Paulsen (R) $122,480 $665,688
Ashwin Madia (DFL) $754,248 $1,048,053
David Dillon (I) $0 $20,317

District 4

[edit]
2008 Minnesota's 4th congressional district election

 2006
2010 
 
Nominee Betty McCollum Ed Matthews
Party Democratic (DFL) Republican
Popular vote 216,267 98,936
Percentage 68.4% 31.3%

Precinct results
McCollum:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Matthews:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Betty McCollum
Democratic (DFL)

Elected U.S. Representative

Betty McCollum
Democratic (DFL)

This district covers most of Ramsey County including all of Saint Paul and several Saint Paul suburbs. Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 69.5% of the vote in 2006, and the district had a PVI of D+13.[2]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Ed Matthews, attorney

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Ed Matthews (R)

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[15] Safe D November 6, 2008
Rothenberg[16] Safe D November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Safe D November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[18] Safe D November 7, 2008
CQ Politics[19] Safe D November 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

McCollum won the race, garnering 68.4% of the vote.[20]

Minnesota's 4th congressional district election, 2008[21]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Betty McCollum (incumbent) 216,267 68.4
Republican Ed Matthews 98,936 31.3
Write-in 815 0.3
Total votes 316,018 100.0
Democratic (DFL) hold

Finances

[edit]
Campaigns
[edit]
Candidate (party) Raised Spent Cash on hand
Betty McCollum (DFL) $722,054 $719,710 $77,255
Ed Matthews (R) $84,061 $77,148 $6,909
Outside Spending
[edit]
Candidate (party) Supported Opposed
Betty McCollum (DFL) $3,795 $0
Ed Matthews (R) $3 $0

District 5

[edit]
2008 Minnesota's 5th congressional district election

 2006
2010 
 
Nominee Keith Ellison Barb Davis White Bill McGaughey
Party Democratic (DFL) Republican Independence
Popular vote 216,267 71,020 22,318
Percentage 70.9% 22.0% 6.9%

Precinct results
Ellison:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Keith Ellison
Democratic (DFL)

Elected U.S. Representative

Keith Ellison
Democratic (DFL)

This district covers eastern Hennepin County, including the entire city of Minneapolis, Minnesota, along with parts of Anoka and Ramsey counties. Incumbent Democrat Keith Ellison, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was elected with 55.6% of the vote in 2006, and the district had a PVI of D+21.[2] He was the first African American U.S. representative from Minnesota as well as the first Muslim member of the U.S. Congress.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary election[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Keith Ellison 33,988 84.5
Democratic (DFL) Gregg A. Iverson 6,251 15.5
Total votes 40,239 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary election[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Barb Davis White 5,284 100.0
Total votes 5,284 100.0

Independence primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • William (Bill) McGaughey, landlord and candidate for U.S. Senator 2002

Results

[edit]
Independence Party primary election[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Independence Bill McGaughey 828 100.0
Total votes 828 100.0

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Barb Davis White (R)

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[15] Safe D November 6, 2008
Rothenberg[16] Safe D November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Safe D November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[18] Safe D November 7, 2008
CQ Politics[19] Safe D November 6, 2008

Results

[edit]
Minnesota's 5th congressional district election, 2008[21]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Keith Ellison (incumbent) 228,776 70.9
Republican Barb Davis White 71,020 22.0
Independence Bill McGaughey 22,318 6.9
Write-in 633 0.2
Total votes 322,747 100.0
Democratic (DFL) hold

Finances

[edit]
Campaigns
[edit]
Candidate (party) Raised Spent Cash on hand
Keith Ellison (DFL) $1,530,396 $1,476,449 $61,922
Barb Davis White (R) $62,099 $55,796 $6,634
Bill McGaughey (I) Unreported
Outside Spending
[edit]
Candidate (party) Supported Opposed
Keith Ellison (DFL) $5,807 $0
Barb Davis White (R) $3 $0
Bill McGaughey (I) $0 $0

District 6

[edit]
2008 Minnesota's 6th congressional district election

 2006
2010 
 
Nominee Michele Bachmann El Tinklenberg Bob Anderson
Party Republican Democratic (DFL) Independence
Popular vote 187,817 175,786 40,643
Percentage 46.4% 43.4% 10.0%

Precinct results
Bachmann:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Tinklenberg:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Michele Bachmann
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Michele Bachmann
Republican

This district includes most or all of Benton, Sherburne, Stearns, Wright, Anoka, and Washington counties. Incumbent Republican Michele Bachmann, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. She was elected with 50.1% of the vote in 2006, and the district had a PVI of R+5.[2]

Republican primary

[edit]

Bachmann won a hard-fought battle against Patty Wetterling in 2006, with the help of Karl Rove and Dick Cheney campaigning on her behalf[52] and a multimillion-dollar warchest.[53]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Aubrey Immelman, associate professor of psychology

Results

[edit]
Republican primary election[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Michele Bachmann (incumbent) 19,127 85.9
Republican Aubrey Immelman 3,134 14.1
Total votes 22,261 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Elwyn Tinklenberg, former Minnesota Commissioner of Transportation (1999–2002), former mayor of Blaine, former Methodist minister and candidate for this seat in 2006[54]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Bob Olson, banker, tax lawyer and nominee for this seat in 1994[55][56]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary election[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) El Tinklenberg 17,474 100.0
Total votes 17,474 100.0

Independence primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Bob Anderson, dental technician

Results

[edit]
Independence Party primary election[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Independence Bob Anderson 828 100.0
Total votes 828 100.0

General election

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Bachmann's charges about "anti-American views" shifted the political dynamics of this campaign,[57] giving a lift to Tinklenberg's candidacy and attracting $1.3 million in new contributions, plus $1 million from the DNC. At the same time, the RNC withdrew media buys on behalf of Bachmann.[58]

Endorsements
[edit]
Michele Bachmann (R)

Polling

[edit]
Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Michele
Bachmann (R)
Elwyn
Tinklenberg (DFL)
Bob
Anderson (IP)
Undecided
SurveyUSA[60] October 29–30, 2008 625 ± 4.0% 46% 45% 6% 3%
Minnesota Public Radio[61] October 21–23, 2008 430 ± 4.7% 43% 45% 5% 7%
SurveyUSA[62] October 21–22, 2008 621 ± 4.0% 44% 47% 6% 2%
Grove Insight (D-DCCC)[63] October 10–12, 2008 400 ± 4.9% 42% 38% 5% 15%

Predictions

[edit]

CQ Politics changed its forecast from 'Republican Favored' to 'Leans Republican' on October 20, and then to 'No Clear Favorite' on October 28. The Cook Political Report then rated it as 'Republican Toss Up'.[64]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[15] Tossup November 6, 2008
Rothenberg[16] Tilt D (flip) November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Lean D (flip) November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[18] Tossup November 7, 2008
CQ Politics[19] Tossup November 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Despite the controversy, Bachmann was re-elected, garnering 46.4% of the vote to Tinklenberg's 43.4% and Anderson's 10%.[20]

Minnesota's 6th congressional district election, 2008[21]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Michele Bachmann (incumbent) 187,817 46.4
Democratic (DFL) Elwyn Tinklenberg 175,786 43.4
Independence Bob Anderson 40,643 10.0
Write-in 479 0.1
Total votes 404,725 100.0
Republican hold

Finances

[edit]
Campaigns
[edit]
Candidate (party) Raised Spent Cash on hand
Michele Bachmann (R) $3,494,045 $3,565,248 $1,918
Elwyn Tinklenberg (DFL) $2,968,319 $2,515,420 $452,898
Bob Anderson (I) Unreported
Outside Spending
[edit]
Candidate (party) Supported Opposed
Michele Bachmann (R) $189,713 $25,148
Elwyn Tinklenberg (DFL) $172,872 $0
Bob Anderson (I) $0 $0

District 7

[edit]
2008 Minnesota's 7th congressional district election

 2006
2010 
 
Nominee Collin Peterson Glen Menze
Party Democratic (DFL) Republican
Popular vote 227,187 87,062
Percentage 72.2% 27.7%


Peterson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Peterson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Menze:      50–60%      60–70%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Collin Peterson
Democratic (DFL)

Elected U.S. Representative

Collin Peterson
Democratic (DFL)

This district covers almost all of the western side of Minnesota from the Canada–US border down to Lincoln County, and is the largest district in the state. Incumbent Democrat Collin Peterson, who had represented the district since 1991, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 69.7% of the vote in 2006, and the district had a PVI of R+6.[2]

Democratic primary

[edit]

As chair of the House Agriculture Committee, 9-term DFLer Collin Peterson is at home in this mostly-agricultural district. Although the district leans Republican, Peterson's social conservatism and farmer/labor DFL values served him well in his district.

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary election[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Collin C. Peterson (incumbent) 21,791 100.0
Total votes 21,791 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Glen Menze, accountant and nominee for this seat in 2000[65]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Results

[