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2014 United States Senate election in Virginia

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2014 United States Senate election in Virginia

 2008
November 4, 2014
2020 
Turnout41.6% (of registered voters)[1]
 
Nominee Mark Warner Ed Gillespie
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,073,667 1,055,940
Percentage 49.15% 48.34%

Warner:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Gillespie:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%

U.S. senator before election

Mark Warner
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Mark Warner
Democratic

The 2014 United States Senate election in Virginia was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Virginia, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner ran for re-election to a second term. He was unopposed for the Democratic nomination. The Republicans nominated lobbyist and former chairman of the Republican National Committee Ed Gillespie. Also running was Libertarian nominee Robert Sarvis, an attorney and businessman.

Prior to the election, most forecasters considered the race to be uncompetitive and polling showed Warner with a significant lead over Gillespie due to Warner's inherent advantages such as incumbency, name recognition, and fundraising. Despite this, the race was much closer than expected, with Warner narrowly winning by a margin of just 0.8% and 17,727 votes. Gillespie conceded the race on November 7, 2014.[2]

Warner's very narrow margin of victory made this the closest race of the 2014 Senate election cycle. Additionally, it is the last time Loudoun County voted for the Republican candidate in a statewide election, and the last time Alleghany County voted for the Democratic candidate in a statewide election.

Background

[edit]

Businessman Mark Warner first ran for the U.S. Senate in 1996, losing to incumbent Republican John Warner (no relation), but by a closer than expected margin, 53% to 47%. He then ran for Governor of Virginia in 2001, winning with 52% of the vote. After John Warner declined to run for a sixth term in 2008, Mark Warner ran to succeed him. Unopposed in the Democratic primary, he defeated the Republican nominee, fellow former governor Jim Gilmore, in a landslide, 65% to 34%.

Warner was widely expected to run for the Democratic nomination in the 2008 presidential election, but declined to do so, and also declined to be considered as a vice-presidential candidate. He considered running for governor again in 2013 but decided against it,[3] and ran for re-election to a second term. Opinion polls consistently ranked Warner as the most popular elected officials in Virginia,[4] with an approval rating consistently in the mid-60s.[5][6] This, combined with his large campaign war chest, meant that he was widely dubbed "unbeatable".[7]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Warner was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Mark Warner

Elected officials

  • Brandon Bell, former Republican state senator[9]
  • Robert Bloxom, former Republican state delegate and former Secretary of Agriculture and Forestry[9]
  • Preston Bryant, former Republican state delegate and former Secretary of Natural Resources[9]
  • Vince Callahan, former Republican state delegate[9]
  • John Chichester, former Republican state senator and Republican nominee for lieutenant governor in 1985[9]
  • Jim Dillard, former Republican state delegate[9]
  • Linwood Holton, former Republican governor of Virginia[9]
  • Clint Miller, former Republican state delegate and Republican candidate for governor in 1993[9]
  • Russ Potts, former Republican state senator and independent candidate for governor in 2005[9]
  • Fred Quayle, former Republican state senator[9]
  • Ann Rhodes, former Republican state delegate[9]
  • Edgar Robb, former Republican state senator and former Albemarle County Sheriff[9]
  • Jack Rollison, former Republican state delegate[9]
  • Bob Tata, former Republican state delegate[9]
  • Katherine Waddell, former Republican state delegate[9]
  • John Warner, former Republican U.S. senator from Virginia[10]

Republican convention

[edit]

The Republican Party of Virginia's governing body voted in May 2013 to select its 2014 U.S. Senate nominee at a convention.[11] The convention was held on June 7, 2014, in Roanoke, Virginia.[12]

Candidates

[edit]

Results

[edit]

Ed Gillespie and Shak Hill were the main players at the convention. A 50% majority was required to receive the nomination; if no candidate achieved such a majority, voting would move to a second or third round. Results of the first ballot of voting were announced as they were finalized by congressional district, and after it became clear that Gillespie was going to win (he had about 60% of the vote with about 90% counted), Hill conceded the race and motioned to nominate Gillespie by acclamation, asking his supporters to support Gillespie.[13] Gillespie was then nominated by acclamation.[13]

Declared

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Ed Gillespie

Individuals

Shak Hill

Individuals

Organizations

Libertarian convention

[edit]

The Libertarian Party of Virginia held its convention on February 8, 2014. The delegates at the convention nominated Robert Sarvis as the party's candidate for the U.S. Senate.[49] Sarvis received notification from the Virginia State Board of Elections that he had achieved statewide ballot access on June 26, 2014.[50]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Robert Sarvis

Elected officials

Individuals

Organizations

Write-in

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]

Top contributors

[edit]

According to OpenSecrets.org, Democrat Mark Warner's top five contributors were JPMorgan Chase, Dominion Resources, Altria Group, Norfolk Southern, and The Blackstone Group. Republican Ed Gillespie's top five contributors were BlueCross/BlueShield, BGR Group, The Blackstone Group, Jennmar Corporation, and the Altria Group.[58] Thus, Warner and Gillespie shared the Altria Group and the Blackstone Group as top five contributors. Libertarian Robert Sarvis was primarily funded through self-financing and individual contributions.[59]

Third quarter reports

[edit]

After third quarter reports, the last before the election, Warner raised an additional $2 million.[60] Gillespie pulled various television ads, stating "he [did] not have the financial resources" to match Warner.[61]

Outside spending

[edit]

In the debates, Warner said, "I think we ought to get rid of all Super PACs and all outside money."[62] However, throughout the campaign, Super PACs supported Warner while no comparable Super PAC backed Gillespie.[63] According to the Virginia Public Access Project, as of October 23, outside groups had spent $2,571,319 to influence the election.[64]

Campaign finance reports

[edit]
Campaign Finance Reports through December 31
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mark Warner $17,098,544 $18,105,322 $143,390
Ed Gillespie $7,892,202 $7,873,079 $19,123
Robert Sarvis $82,813 $84,949 $-2,136
Source: OpenSecrets[65]

Cost per vote

[edit]

Warner spent $18,105,322 for the election and received 1,073,667 votes at $16.86 per vote. Gillespie spent $7,873,079 during the campaign and received 1,055,940 votes at $7.46 per vote. Sarvis spent $84,949 and received 53,102 votes at $1.60 per vote.

Debates and forums

[edit]

Democrat Mark Warner and Republican Ed Gillespie agreed to three debates and six forums.[66] Gillespie also agreed to three additional debates, but Warner declined.[67] Libertarian Robert Sarvis, who submitted a petition with over 1,000 signatures to debate organizers, challenged Warner and Gillespie to include him in the debates.[68][69] In August, Warner accepted the challenge and requested that Sarvis be invited to the remaining debates; Gillespie did not respond.[70][71] In the end, Sarvis was not invited to any of the debates, and was only invited to one joint appearance.[72]

Confirmed debates

[edit]

Virginia Bar Association
The Virginia Bar Association (VBA) debate occurred at 11 a.m. on July 26 at The Greenbrier in White Sulphur Springs, West Virginia. PBS NewsHour co-anchor Judy Woodruff moderated the debate, which was free and open to public.[73] The VBA decided to invite only Warner and Gillespie. VBA president John L. Walker III said: "They are the only candidates who qualify under our criteria for invitations."[74] In response to not being invited, Sarvis said, "Virginia voters lost".[75][76] In addition, some political observers, like the Franklin Center for Government and Public Integrity's project watchdog.org, noted that issues like surveillance and cronyism were missing from the debate.[77] Fewer than 800 people watched the debate on PBS' livestream, which was characterised by Politico as civil, with both candidates "at their best".[78] The debate was later replayed multiple times on C-SPAN.[79]

Fairfax Chamber of Commerce
The Fairfax County Chamber of Commerce hosted a debate on October 7. The debate was moderated by Chuck Todd, the host of Meet the Press.[71] The debate was broadcast live on WRC-TV in Northern Virginia, and was offered to all NBC affiliates in Virginia.[66] In their second debate, Warner and Gillespie aired their differences on marriage equality, the Affordable Care Act, and America's foreign policy challenges. Both candidates appeared uncomfortable at times. Gillespie lashed out against Warner for voting with President Barack Obama "97 percent of the time"; Warner fired back, calling it a "bogus charge". Sarvis was not invited.[80]

The People's Debate
The League of Women Voters of Virginia and American Association of Retired Persons of Virginia hosted "The People's Debate" on October 13 in Richmond, Virginia.[71] The debate was offered by WTVR-TV (CBS) and WCVE-TV (Virginia Public Television) to all of their affiliates.[66] In the third and final debate, the candidates discussed the economy, education, Social Security, healthcare, and campaign finance reform. The debate was heated at times, particularly when Warner spoke against Gillespie's past lobbying experience; Gillespie focused on Warner's recent admission that he called State Senator Phillip Puckett and spoke about jobs for Puckett's daughter. Sarvis was not invited to the debate.[81] Sarvis described the debate as the "no people's debate" because he was "the only candidate not bought and paid for by corporate interests."[82][83]

Confirmed forums

[edit]

Arlington Civic Federation
The Arlington County Civic Federation hosted a forum at 7:30pm on September 2 at Virginia Hospital Center's Hazel Auditorium in Arlington, Virginia. The event was recorded and televised by Arlington Independent Media.[84] More than one hundred people attended the Arlington forum. Sarvis participated in the event; Warner and Gillespie declined.[85]

Northern Virginia Technology Council
The Northern Virginia Technology Council and Microsoft co-hosted a forum, at the Microsoft Offices in Reston, Virginia, from 8 a.m. to 10:30 a.m. on September 8.[66] The forum delved into details about cybersecurity policy, immigration visas for skilled workers and other issues important to the tech community.[86] Warner and Gillespie participated; Sarvis was not invited.[87]

The Battleground
The Battleground Forum with Northern Virginia Chambers of Commerce occurred between 11 a.m. and 2 p.m. on September 19 at the Center for Innovative Technology in Herndon, Virginia.[66] The debate-style forum was hosted by chambers of commerce from Loudoun, Prince William, Reston and Fredericksburg.[88] Questions included the Affordable Care Act, balancing the budget, the Marketplace Fairness Act, Virginia's economy and student loan debt. Warner's and Gillespie's answers centered around two themes: Warner speaking about his bipartisanship record and Gillespie pairing Warner with President Barack Obama. Sarvis was not invited.[89]

Roanoke Chamber of Commerce
The Roanoke Chamber of Commerce joint appearance occurred between 11:30 a.m. and 1:00 p.m., at the City Market Building in Roanoke, Virginia, on October 6.[90] The forum was moderated by Dr. Robert "Bob" Denton, who leads the communication department at Virginia Tech. Warner, Gillespie, and Sarvis were invited.[91] Warner highlighted his record of bipartisanship; Gillespie questioned whether Warner is really the centrist he claims to be; and Sarvis argued the two-party system is broken and neither of his opponents offers any meaningful change. The forum covered a variety of issues, including transportation funding, immigration reform and foreign policy, and a question about the Affordable Care Act highlighted the candidates' differences.[92][93][94]

Sorensen Institute
The Sorensen Institute for Political Leadership, Danville Register & Bee, and WSET-TV joint appearance occurred October 14 at 7 p.m. in Danville, Virginia.[66][95] Warner and Gillespie participated. Sarvis was not invited.[96]

Christopher Newport University
The Christopher Newport University joint appearance took place on October 17 in Gaines Theater in Hampton Roads, Virginia. Warner and Gillespie answered questions from Dr. Quentin Kidd, a government professor and director of Christopher Newport University's Wason Center. The event was free and open to the public.[66][97] Warner and Gillespie attended. Sarvis was not invited.[98]

Central Business District Association
The Central Business District Association joint appearance was at the Westin Virginia Beach Town Center, from 8:00 a.m. to 9:30 a.m. on October 23.[66] Warner and Gillespie participated.[99] Sarvis was not invited.[72]

Proposed debates

[edit]
Proposed debates

James Madison University debate
The proposed debate was sponsored by Virginia21 and the JMU Student Government Association. Gillespie accepted the debate invitation; Warner declined.[100] Sarvis was not invited to the debate.[101] A representative of the university's student government association wrote: "Both campaigns had stated that if Mr. Sarvis were to be invited to participate in the debate their chances of agreeing to accept the invitation was unlikely and actually committing was even less likely."[102] While the debate was not agreed to, Warner and Sarvis spoke with JMU students on August 31.[103]

University of Mary Washington debate
The proposed debate was sponsored by the UMW Student Government Association, the Fredericksburg Regional Chamber of Commerce, and The Free-Lance Star. Sarvis was invited and accepted the debate invitation; Warner and Gillespie declined.[104][105]

University of Virginia debate
The proposed debate was sponsored by the University of Virginia's Frank Batten School of Leadership and Public Policy. Gillespie accepted the invitation. Warner declined.[67][100][106] Sarvis was not invited.[107]

George Mason University debate

Gillespie accepted an invitation to debate at George Mason University; Warner declined.[67][100]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[108] Likely D November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[109] Likely D November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[110] Likely D November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[111] Lean D November 3, 2014

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Warner (D)
Ed
Gillespie (R)
Robert
Sarvis (L)
Other Undecided
Roanoke College[112] January 13–17, 2014 553 ± 4.2% 50% 21% 3% 26%
Rasmussen Reports[113] January 20–21, 2014 1,000 ± 3% 51% 37% 2% 9%
Christopher Newport University[114] January 15–22, 2014 1,023 ± 3.1% 50% 30% 2% 18%
Harper Polling[115] February 4–5, 2014 936 ± 3.2% 44% 38% 18%
Roanoke College[116] February 22–28, 2014 707 ± 3.9% 56% 29% 1% 13%
Quinnipiac University[117] March 19–24, 2014 1,288 ± 2.7% 46% 31% 6% 17%
Public Policy Polling[118] April 1–2, 2014 689 ± ? 49% 35% 16%
Rasmussen Reports[113] June 11–12, 2014 750 ± 4% 53% 36% 3% 9%
Roanoke College[119] July 14–19, 2014 556 ± 4.2% 47% 22% 5% 2% 25%
CBS News/New York Times[120] July 5–24, 2014 2,081 ± 3.2% 53% 42% 2% 3%
Hampton University[121] July 27–30, 2014 804 ± 2.9% 53% 28% 5% 14%
55% 32% 13%
CBS News/New York Times[122] August 18 – September 2, 2014 1,635 ± 3% 51% 39% 1% 9%
Christopher Newport University[123] September 2–7, 2014 713 ± 3.7% 53% 31% 5% 11%
Roanoke College[124] September 13–19, 2014 630 ± 3.9% 49% 29% 6% 16%
Quinnipiac University[125] September 17–22, 2014 1,010 ± 3.1% 48% 39% 6% 7%
50% 41% 9%
Public Policy Polling[126] September 22–23, 2014 625 ± 3.9% 48% 35% 4% 12%
49% 37% 14%
CBS News/New York Times[127] September 20 – October 1, 2014 1,656 ± 3% 51% 39% 1% 0% 9%
Christopher Newport University[128] September 29 – October 5, 2014 690 ± 3.7% 51% 39% 3% 7%
University of Mary Washington[129] October 1–6, 2014 444 LV ± 5.3% 47% 37% 6% 10%
819 RV ± 3.9% 50% 30% 6% 14%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[130] October 16–23, 2014 1,605 ± 4% 49% 39% 1% 0% 11%
Roanoke College[131] October 20–25, 2014 738 ± 3.6% 47% 35% 4% 15%
Vox Populi Polling[132] October 27–28, 2014 734 ± 3.6% 44% 40% 5% 2% 9%
Christopher Newport University[133] October 23–29, 2014 815 ± 3.4% 51% 44% 2% 3%
Public Policy Polling[134] October 29–30, 2014 937 ± 3.2% 49% 40% 5% 6%
Hypothetical polling

With Bolling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Warner (D)
Bill
Bolling (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[135] April 26–29, 2012 680 ± 3.8% 51% 40% 9%
Public Policy Polling[136] January 4–6, 2013 602 ± 4% 53% 35% 12%
Public Policy Polling[137] May 24–26, 2013 672 ± 3.8% 54% 33% 13%
Public Policy Polling[138] July 11–14, 2013 601 ± 4% 53% 35% 12%

With Cantor

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Warner (D)
Eric
Cantor (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[135] April 26–29, 2012 680 ± 3.8% 51% 40% 9%
Public Policy Polling[136] January 4–6, 2013 602 ± 4% 56% 37% 7%
Public Policy Polling[137] May 24–26, 2013 672 ± 3.8% 53% 34% 13%
Public Policy Polling[138] July 11–14, 2013 601 ± 4% 52% 36% 11%

With Cuccinelli

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Warner (D)
Ken
Cuccinelli (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[135] April 26–29, 2012 680 ± 3.8% 51% 40% 9%
Public Policy Polling[136] January 4–6, 2013 602 ± 4% 57% 36% 7%

With Kristol

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Warner (D)
Bill
Kristol (R)
Undecided

With Marshall

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Warner (D)
Bob
Marshall (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[138] July 11–14, 2013 601 ± 4% 50% 34% 16%

With McDonnell

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Warner (D)
Bob
McDonnell (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[135] April 26–29, 2012 680 ± 3.8% 51% 40% 9%
Public Policy Polling[136] January 4–6, 2013 602 ± 4% 52% 42% 7%
University of Mary Washington[139] March 20–24, 2013 1,004 ± 3.5% 51% 35% 14%
Public Policy Polling[137] May 24–26, 2013 672 ± 3.8% 50% 39% 11%
Public Policy Polling[138] July 11–14, 2013 601 ± 4% 51% 36% 15%

With Obenshain

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Warner (D)
Mark
Obenshain (R)
Undecided

Results

[edit]
2014 United States Senate election in Virginia[140]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Mark Warner (incumbent) 1,073,667 49.15% −15.88%
Republican Ed Gillespie 1,055,940 48.34% +14.62%
Libertarian Robert Sarvis 53,102 2.43% +1.87%
Write-in 1,811 0.08% –0.01%
Total votes 2,184,520 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

By county and independent city

[edit]
Locality[140] Mark Warner
Democratic
Ed Gillespie
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Accomack 4,137 42.83% 5,259 54.45% 262 2.71% -1,122 -11.62% 9,658
Albemarle 17,924 54.25% 13,930 42.16% 1,186 3.59% 3,994 12.09% 33,040
Alexandria 29,047 70.11% 11,480 27.71% 905 2.18% 17,567 42.40% 41,432
Alleghany 2,211 53.21% 1,835 44.16% 109 2.62% 376 9.05% 4,155
Amelia 1,377 33.85% 2,588 63.62% 103 2.53% -1,211 -29.77% 4,068
Amherst 3,243 36.86% 5,370 61.04% 185 2.10% -2,127 -24.18% 8,798
Appomattox 1,399 29.54% 3,234 68.29% 103 2.17% -1,835 -38.75% 4,736
Arlington 47,709 70.49% 18,239 26.95% 1,735 2.56% 29,470 43.54% 67,683
Augusta 5,153 26.11% 14,011 71.00% 570 2.89% -8,858 -44.89% 19,734
Bath 489 41.76% 638 54.48% 44 3.76% -149 -12.72% 1,171
Bedford 6,855 27.74% 17,280 69.93% 576 2.33% -10,425 -42.19% 24,711
Bland 514 28.24% 1,266 69.56% 40 2.20% -752 -41.32% 1,820
Botetourt 3,488 31.49% 7,296 65.87% 293 2.65% -3,808 -34.38% 11,077
Bristol 1,294 33.99% 2,445 64.22% 68 1.79% -1,151 -30.23% 3,807
Brunswick 2,675 60.59% 1,692 38.32% 48 1.09% 983 22.27% 4,415
Buchanan 1,794 38.71% 2,794 60.28% 47 1.01% -1,000 -21.57% 4,635
Buckingham 1,785 45.65% 2,015 51.53% 110 2.81% -230 -5.88% 3,910
Buena Vista 475 39.39% 692 57.38% 39 3.23% -217 -17.99% 1,206
Campbell 4,428 28.58% 10,761 69.45% 306 1.97% -6,333 -40.87% 15,495
Caroline 3,879 51.20% 3,517 46.42% 180 2.38% 362 4.78% 7,576
Carroll 2,265 32.11% 4,587 65.03% 202 2.86% -2,322 -32.92% 7,054
Charles City 1,593 64.29% 834 33.66% 51 2.06% 759 30.63% 2,478
Charlotte 1,462 40.91% 2,062 57.69% 50 1.40% -600 -16.79% 3,574
Charlottesville 8,241 76.88% 2,054 19.16% 424 3.96% 6,187 57.72% 10,719
Chesapeake 29,602 48.71% 29,899 49.20% 1,266 2.08% -297 -0.49% 60,767
Chesterfield 44,491 43.99% 53,306 52.70% 3,344 3.31% -8,815 -8.72% 101,141
Clarke 1,954 39.13% 2,893 57.94% 146 2.92% -939 -18.81% 4,993
Colonial Heights 1,187 25.37% 3,351 71.62% 141 3.01% -2,164 -46.25% 4,679
Covington 731 60.26% 457 37.68% 25 2.06% 274 22.59% 1,213
Craig 559 34.48% 1,011 62.37% 51 3.15% -452 -27.88% 1,621
Culpeper 3,823 32.90% 7,487 64.43% 311 2.68% -3,664 -31.53% 11,621
Cumberland 1,228 44.24% 1,451 52.27% 97 3.49% -223 -8.03% 2,776
Danville 6,259 57.89% 4,436 41.03% 117 1.08% 1,823 16.86% 10,812
Dickenson 1,416 41.94% 1,897 56.19% 63 1.87% -481 -14.25% 3,376
Dinwiddie 3,467 47.34% 3,694 50.44% 162 2.21% -227 -3.10% 7,323
Emporia 855 62.27% 501 36.49% 17 1.24% 354 25.78% 1,373
Essex 1,419 46.96% 1,545 51.13% 58 1.92% -126 -4.17% 3,022
Fairfax City 3,812 54.51% 3,018 43.16% 163 2.33% 794 11.35% 6,993
Fairfax County 176,418 57.68% 122,857 40.17% 6,594 2.16% 53,561 17.51% 305,869
Falls Church 3,599 71.49% 1,309 26.00% 126 2.50% 2,290 45.49% 5,034
Fauquier 6,985 33.88% 13,219 64.12% 411 1.99% -6,234 -30.24% 20,615
Floyd 1,889 40.88% 2,558 55.36% 174 3.77% -669 -14.48% 4,621
Fluvanna 3,563 42.80% 4,480 53.81% 282 3.39% -917 -11.02% 8,325
Franklin City 1,328 61.06% 818 37.61% 29 1.33% 510 23.45% 2,175
Franklin County 5,650 35.92% 9,664 61.44% 415 2.64% -4,014 -25.52% 15,729
Frederick 6,659 30.33% 14,693 66.93% 601 2.74% -8,034 -36.60% 21,953
Fredericksburg 3,341 58.34% 2,211 38.61% 175 3.06% 1,130 19.73% 5,727
Galax 564 42.09% 743 55.45% 33 2.46% -179 -13.36% 1,340
Giles 1,760 36.97% 2,856 60.00% 144 3.03% -1,096 -23.03% 4,760
Gloucester 3,729 33.91% 6,988 63.55% 279 2.54% -3,259 -29.64% 10,996
Goochland 3,381 36.14% 5,735 61.30% 240 2.57% -2,354 -25.16% 9,356
Grayson 1,441 34.76% 2,585 62.35% 120 2.89% -1,144 -27.59% 4,146
Greene 1,655 32.63% 3,223 63.54% 194 3.82% -1,568 -30.91% 5,072
Greensville 1,738 62.97% 984 35.65% 38 1.38% 754 27.32% 2,760
Halifax 4,435 46.20% 5,005 52.14% 159 1.66% -570 -5.94% 9,599
Hampton 23,483 68.41% 10,149 29.56% 697 2.03% 13,334 38.84% 34,329
Hanover 12,437 32.13% 24,995 64.58% 1,274 3.29% -12,558 -32.44% 38,706
Harrisonburg 3,865 51.27% 3,332 44.20% 342 4.54% 533 7.07% 7,539
Henrico 54,049 55.08% 41,171 41.95% 2,913 2.97% 12,878 13.12% 98,133
Henry 5,695 42.22% 7,549 55.97% 244 1.81% -1,854 -13.75% 13,488
Highland 318 34.60% 564 61.37% 37 4.03% -246 -26.77% 919
Hopewell 2,412 50.80% 2,197 46.27% 139 2.93% 215 4.53% 4,748
Isle of Wight 4,979 41.72% 6,714 56.25% 242 2.03% -1,735 -14.54% 11,935
James City 11,577 43.72% 14,403 54.39% 502 1.90% -2,826 -10.67% 26,482
King and Queen 1,012 47.33% 1,067 49.91% 59 2.76% -55 -2.57% 2,138
King George 2,460 36.26% 4,148 61.13% 177 2.61% -1,688 -24.88% 6,785
King William 1,797 34.89% 3,168 61.51% 185 3.59% -1,371 -26.62% 5,150
Lancaster 1,924 41.89% 2,573 56.02% 96 2.09% -649 -14.13% 4,593
Lee 2,030 34.93% 3,690 63.49% 92 1.58% -1,660 -28.56% 5,812
Lexington 981 64.62% 501 33.00% 36 2.37% 480 31.62% 1,518
Loudoun 45,042 48.59% 45,500 49.08% 2,162 2.33% -458 -0.49% 92,704
Louisa 3,936 39.07% 5,802 57.59% 337 3.34% -1,866 -18.52% 10,075
Lunenburg 1,481 45.08% 1,736 52.85% 68 2.07% -255 -7.76% 3,285
Lynchburg 8,284 42.71% 10,627 54.79% 484 2.50% -2,343 -12.08% 19,395
Madison 1,418 34.73% 2,560 62.70% 105 2.57% -1,142 -27.97% 4,083
Manassas 4,004 49.18% 3,891 47.80% 246 3.02% 113 1.39% 8,141
Manassas Park 1,107 52.79% 924 44.06% 66 3.15% 183 8.73% 2,097
Martinsville 2,146 60.55% 1,317 37.16% 81 2.29% 829 23.39% 3,544
Mathews 1,208 35.52% 2,141 62.95% 52 1.53% -933 -27.43% 3,401
Mecklenburg 3,266 42.04% 4,375 56.31% 128 1.65% -1,109 -14.27% 7,769
Middlesex 1,427 37.33% 2,304 60.27% 92 2.41% -877 -22.94% 3,823
Montgomery 11,110 51.04% 9,776 44.91% 880 4.04% 1,334 6.13% 21,766
Nelson 2,496 49.17% 2,288 45.07% 292 5.75% 208 4.10% 5,076
New Kent 2,303 32.09% 4,668 65.05% 205 2.86% -2,365 -32.96% 7,176
Newport News 23,405 60.37% 14,548 37.52% 817 2.11% 8,857 22.84% 38,770
Norfolk 29,210 68.66% 12,252 28.80% 1,081 2.54% 16,958 39.86% 42,543
Northampton 1,890 52.93% 1,553 43.49% 128 3.58% 337 9.44% 3,571
Northumberland 2,089 40.74% 2,939 57.31% 100 1.95% -850 -16.58% 5,128
Norton 294 37.60% 462 59.08% 26 3.32% -168 -21.48% 782
Nottoway 1,796 47.02% 1,942 50.84% 82 2.15% -146 -3.82% 3,820
Orange 3,629 37.42% 5,814 59.94% 256 2.64% -2,185 -22.53% 9,699
Page 1,654 29.33% 3,883 68.85% 103 1.83% -2,229 -39.52% 5,640
Patrick 1,538 31.48% 3,228 66.08% 119 2.44% -1,690 -34.60% 4,885
Petersburg 6,800 87.76% 843 10.88% 105 1.36% 5,957 76.88% 7,748
Pittsylvania 6,558 36.23% 11,278 62.30% 266 1.47% -4,720 -26.07% 18,102
Poquoson 1,077 25.02% 3,128 72.66% 100 2.32% -2,051 -47.64% 4,305
Portsmouth 17,101 69.94% 6,760 27.65% 591 2.42% 10,341 42.29% 24,452
Powhatan 2,525 26.07% 6,785 70.05% 376 3.88% -4,260 -43.98% 9,686
Prince Edward 2,550 52.39% 2,194 45.08% 123 2.53% 356 7.31% 4,867
Prince George 3,700 40.74% 5,132 56.51% 249 2.74% -1,432 -15.77% 9,081
Prince William 48,140 50.39% 45,366 47.49% 2,022 2.12% 2,774 2.90% 95,528
Pulaski 3,301 39.76% 4,796 57.76% 206 2.48% -1,495 -18.01% 8,303
Radford 1,446 51.81% 1,256 45.00% 89 3.19% 190 6.81% 2,791
Rappahannock 1,213 43.31% 1,531 54.66% 57 2.03% -318 -11.35% 2,801
Richmond City 38,963 75.75% 10,750 20.90% 1,726 3.36% 28,213 54.85% 51,439
Richmond County 844 40.66% 1,194 57.51% 38 1.83% -350 -16.86% 2,076
Roanoke City 12,311 59.29% 7,714 37.15% 739 3.56% 4,597 22.14% 20,764
Roanoke County 11,605 37.91% 18,166 59.34% 843 2.75% -6,561 -21.43% 30,614
Rockbridge 2,713 41.34% 3,696 56.32% 154 2.35% -983 -14.98% 6,563
Rockingham 5,323 25.81% 14,744 71.48% 559 2.71% -9,421 -45.68% 20,626
Russell 2,442 37.56% 3,947 60.71% 112 1.72% -1,505 -23.15% 6,501
Salem 2,750 39.99% 3,914 56.92% 212 3.08% -1,164 -16.93% 6,876
Scott 1,406 27.15% 3,699 71.42% 74 1.43% -2,293 -44.27% 5,179
Shenandoah 3,219 29.02% 7,624 68.73% 249 2.24% -4,405 -39.71% 11,092
Smyth 2,405 35.08% 4,296 62.67% 154 2.25% -1,891 -27.59% 6,855
Southampton 2,377 46.96% 2,594 51.24% 91 1.80% -217 -4.29% 5,062
Spotsylvania 12,381 38.00% 19,445 59.68% 758 2.33% -7,064 -21.68% 32,584
Stafford 13,436 39.53% 19,790 58.22% 763 2.24% -6,354 -18.69% 33,989
Staunton 3,010 48.26% 3,045 48.82% 182 2.92% -35 -0.56% 6,237
Suffolk 13,533 55.95% 10,202 42.18% 452 1.87% 3,331 13.77% 24,187
Surry 1,545 60.14% 963 37.49% 61 2.37% 582 22.65% 2,569
Sussex 1,710 57.25% 1,241 41.55% 36 1.21% 469 15.70% 2,987
Tazewell 2,574 26.60% 6,972 72.05% 130 1.34% -4,398 -45.45% 9,676
Virginia Beach 49,218 46.11% 54,602 51.15% 2,927 2.74% -5,384 -5.04% 106,747
Warren 3,048 33.00% 5,933 64.23% 256 2.77% -2,885 -31.23% 9,237
Washington 4,402 31.41% 9,361 66.79% 252 1.80% -4,959 -35.38% 14,015
Waynesboro 1,951 40.54% 2,675 55.59% 186 3.87% -724 -15.05% 4,812
Westmoreland 2,217 47.64% 2,338 50.24% 99 2.13% -121 -2.60% 4,654
Williamsburg 2,466 62.96% 1,360 34.72% 91 2.32% 1,106 28.24% 3,917
Winchester 2,732 46.14% 2,985 50.41% 204 3.45% -253 -4.27% 5,921
Wise 2,181 28.24% 5,414 70.10% 128 1.66% -3,233 -41.86% 7,723
Wythe 2,393 33.51% 4,562 63.88% 187 2.62% -2,169 -30.37% 7,142
York 7,974 38.66% 12,141 58.87% 510 2.47% -4,167 -20.20% 20,625
Totals1,073,66749.15%1,055,94048.34%54,9132.51%17,7270.81%2,184,520

Counties and independent cities that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Despite losing the state, Gillespie won eight of 11 congressional districts.[141]

District Gillespie Warner Representative
1st 56% 42% Rob Wittman
2nd 49% 48% Scott Rigell
3rd 21% 77% Bobby Scott
4th 51% 47% Randy Forbes
5th 54% 44% Robert Hurt
6th 60% 37% Bob Goodlatte
7th 56% 41% Eric Cantor
Dave Brat
8th 31% 67% Jim Moran
Don Beyer
9th 59% 38% Morgan Griffith
10th 52% 46% Frank Wolf
Barbara Comstock
11th 39% 59% Gerry Connolly

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
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[edit]

Official campaign websites