Reference

Showing posts with label Utilities. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Utilities. Show all posts

Conflicts on the ground that serve no purpose

I received the folloing tweet from engerati (if you are in energy join - its free and excellent  http://www.engerati.com/ )

Since this post was there - I thought I better put it here too !

A different type of conflict

Utility companies are no strangers to "conflict on the ground" when it comes to large scale geo-politics.  One needs hardly mention The Gulf, Nigeria, Ukraine and even historically Tobruk, or more surprisingly The Falklands to realise that a battle for scarce resources is nothing new. However, this is not the battle we are addressing here.
Our conflict occurs when mismatched intents between building services, powered by gas and electicity come into play.  Though each is small, unnoticed and imperceptible, they are nearly omnipresent eternal and their impact is huge.
Consider this: The IPCC and WCSBD together calculate that around 12% of global energy is wasted in buildings (29% of the 40% used). Obviously this represents the normal or "businesss as usual".
A simply corollary is that "exception based reporting" (the basis of 99% of commercial aM&T software) is utterly useless in this context. If it is normal, it is unexceptional and so this 12% of global energy flies "beneath our radar" (as waste).

Throw away counsels of despair

There is no point simply observing that a situation is broken. It is; and let me briefly define the problem, but let us then examine what needs to be done (as it is relatively simple).

The battleground:

When analysing energy use, the need to understand the stated purpose of consumption is implicit. It would be a better defined world if it were explicit.
Energy managers "chalk-up" energy consumption to causal factors of consumption (the "drivers"). Typically most are overlooked, but common considerations include (occupancy - no point cooling an unoccupied building), the weather (how hot or cold is it), the target "comfort" conditions, and exceptional items like school holidays, heating outside occupancy for fabric protection.
To the extent that these drivers together fully explain variations in consumption, we can assume well-managed energy use.
But they do not ! - Granted most utilities provide data-viewing apps, that feed back pretty graphs of consumption, or benchmarked comparitives of performance within a class of building types

Existing Analytics tools are not fit-for-purpose:

While you as the provider of a utility (say electricity) cannot explain to your client how much of their energy is wholly wasted in negating the effects of their overuse of another utilities resources (say gas), using your best data scientists - I would argue the system is broken, because it appears neither client nor supplier knows the benefits of the facilities provided (despite knowing the quantity sold).
This is a strategically significant statement -

"Utility companies cannot in general quantify their core value-proposition to their clients"


The solution is relatively simply defined, and is available based on metering techniques and analytics alone.

Selling Holes not Drills

Going one step further for your clients is easy if you are armed with a few bits of data.
Imagine a pub where the landlord responds to complains of cold by turning the thermostat up, and the drinkers respond to heat by leaving the doors and windows open. Now drive through any city on the planet and see how many centrally serviced buildings have their doors and windows open.

"This problem is so common, that people laugh about it."


Now, suppose you are armed with outside temperature and gas consumption histories. It is not rocket-science to come up with an email that says -
"At this temperature last year you were using X kW but now you are using twice as much (turn the thermostat down and make sure doors and windows are closed) and comfort is still possible"
If you consider that weather is a legitimate driver of heating consumption, it is a small step to recognise that money spent on cooling (usually electrically driven) is always an illegitimate driver of heating consumption.

It's a simple argument, but until utilities (or their service representatives) provide both electricity and gas data for a building in a single analytical context (even at a fiscal meter level without sub-metering) they cannot possibly know how much of the utility is useful and how much is simply encouraging their clients to look elsewhere causing competitive:

 

"conflicts on the ground that serve no purpose!"



originally posted on engerati.com

3D energy management

3D webgl enabled chart showing energy managers when waste occurs
Screenshot of interactive 3d performance model
kWIQly have been invited to showcase our new demo at the O'Reilly Fluent conference (javascript and beyond). Since many readers will not be in San Francisco. I thought we should give you an idea of what it can do for energy managers.

If you like you can try it yourself at home:)

energy insight demo

A couple of the features need a modern browser with a webGL graphics card to see 3D imagery of consumption and weather vs time.

So why not see if they work for you ?

If you drag your mouse on the diagrams and nothing happens you may need help to enable the functionality in your browser 

So you have smart-meter data, but is it clean?

A household-name client of ours is very big in Energy Performance Contracting, they, like us face a potentially explosive market demand, and they, like us, understand that the fastest way you can get a take on energy saving opportunity in a group of buildings is using pattern recognition. This can make it viable to "get a grip" on thousands of buildings before pricing services or exposure to expensive in-depth expert surveys on site.

There is one major problem - 


tl;dr version 
http://kwiqly.com/resources/meter-data-for-energy-management.pdf is a non-technical description of the first thing we do with client energy data to clean it up. It might make you think, or raise problems you have not considered. Please feel do free to comment or circulate the link, stick it online somewhere or whatever (if you do please do also link back in case we make revisions) . 

10 Smart-Meter Answers - why gas before electricity ?

Hopefully this short post will spark or fire up some debate.

Assume you have 100 buildings and 100 smart-meters and each building uses gas for heating & hot water and electricity for cooling and lights, socket loads etc. So each building for primary utility supply requires two smart-meters without considering water.

So should you install smart gas meters then electricity or vice-verse ? I know what I think - read on..

Big Utility or Little Fish (you will be swallowed)

Barbecue fire
Barbecue fire (Photo credit: Julio Martinez)
Did you ever put fuel or gas on a barbecue to get it going ?

Yikes - That's what I felt like after my recent post

Energy co. wants me to use less - really ? !

Anyone would think I just stood on a nerve, pressed the right buttons, or dialled in a thermonuclear strike !

Some people thought my views absurd, but others agreed strongly.

Nuclear weapon test Mike (energy yield 10.4 Mt)
Nuclear weapon test Mike (yield 10.4 Mt) on Enewetak Atoll. The  first hydrogen bomb ever tested, an experimental device not appropriate for use as a weapon. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

As ever the truth lies somewhere between what you think you know and what others misguidedly believe !

The more visceral reactions I were mainly on LinkedIn - this correlates well to the fact that the American Utility industry is not what you might describe as a "mature free market".

(BTW why don't people comment ON the blog itself where everyone can see - it's like putting on a concert on the dark side of the moon ? )

The Dark Side of the Moon
The Dark Side of the Moon (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
The differences in views are geographically split - and depend on market circumstances and degrees of energy de-regulation.

In much of Europe you can choose your utility provider and mature commodity markets exist, whereas in the US there is very little utility competition - you buy from the local provider or you do without.

The idea that the US is a land of free markets is frankly naive when you look at electricity, gas, (even heat) , telecomms, waste disposal and indeed the essentials for life - water.

I have recently been invited to comment by http://www.pikeresearch.com on a related subject, regarding how limits to control technology expertise cause utilities to struggle with client services.

While it would not be appropriate to share what I have heard regarding their commercial research plans, I did write a response that I am free to share.  And it is worth noticing that they very much observe these trends by utility companies but acknowledge that are largely "invisible" as yet in the US.

So, in full knowledge that I probably pouring fuel on a fire that is already lit - here we are...

With a few notes for clarity as {edit}
>>

Dear (anonymous) at Pike Research


It seems you have dropped in on one of my absolute pet subjects for a good rant ! :)

Let me outline my first thoughts below - if these sound interesting I would love my thoughts to be considered (especially because any exposure is direct to utilities who are for us a key route to market).

Let me also offer the caveat that my exposure is mainly to European markets (which vary from totally deregulated to the local monopoly model that is more common in the US).

So the context  - Utilities like control system providers all sell largely unbranded commodities.
The floor of the Chicago Board of Trade, a maj...
The floor of the Chicago Board of Trade, a major commodities exchange in the United States. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
{NOTE - this is where a competitive market is assumed - Your Mileage May Vary !}

Explanation - a kWH gas or electricity is better if cheaper  - A thermostat is not "better" if it says Honeywell, Siemens or Johnsons on the casing 0 - it either does its job or not - cheaper is better.

Even facility managers when contracts are replaced for big buildings will leave the staff in situ  to the new incumbent.  They sell numbers of people (security guards / cleaners - not "People").

{BTW this is mindless compliance to tender processes rather than "best practice" - much of the public tendering eg under OJEC / OJEU is at best a complete whitewashing façade to pay lip-service to competitive tenders - If the same people end up doing the job regardless of who wins the tender what is the point ? - This introduces bureaucratic middlemen and solves nothing from a corruption perspective}

Awareness of the actions of these commodities {what the people actually do} is 100% obscured at the point of sale:
English: Cotton candy Ελληνικά: Μαλλί της γριάς
US Cotton candy - English Candy Floss
(Photo credit: Wikipedia)
At the meter energy is sold, 
- the utility does not know if it is used to blow leaves or make cotton candy.

At the wholesaler control systems are distributed,
- the manufacturer has no idea if the relay will switch on a compressor, a fountain or a furnace.

The FM provider has no idea where the restrooms are in the building
 - this is for the cleaning staff to know.

This is possible because each provides "non-core" services to its client.  Hotels use all three of these "commodities", as do prisons, and schools, offices, Starbucks or  Mom and Pop stores and glass blowing factories.

So the true commodity supplier has no concept of the business model or operation of his client - it does not serve to know this

{ KEY POINT OF BLOG POST - HOW TO HANDLE THE SHIFT IN FOCUS }

However, look at the energy data and in the patterns these can reliably be recognised (Bakers burn gas at weird times of day in summer and winter, schools have holidays and offices have open hours).  

So given pattern recognition "meta-data" about the demand side exists. Demand side management from a utility perspective is about re-scheduling rather than avoidance and relies on pricing motivation, rather than pragmatism.  This is why there are numerous companies selling "more efficient XYZ or consultancy services "guaranteed to save".

Now consider this...

{The bizarre case of non-competitive communism promoting capitalism}

Unlimited heating was considered {theoretically - just as much as food} a human right in the old Soviet Union (and in Moscow gas still costs a few dollars for as much as you can use) - So there is NO motive to save energy (at first sight).

However, Gas not sold to Moscovites can be sold to the Ukraine, Germany, Switzerland, Italy and France AND it is.  So if you can get someone to use less for the same service fee (and be as happy), you have more to sell to someone else.
Major Russian gas basins
Major Russian gas basins
 (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

The implication is that where supply-side demand management co-operation and interchangeability exists (as is planned for the US but is a bit vulnerable) a preference for efficient clients exists (you can make more money from them - because they will pay more for less of the commodity if you provide attractive services  that help their efficiency ). 


These added value services differentiate and are more profitable, assist client retention and reduce client acquisition cost.

The implication is that Utility companies want to save clients energy (or increasingly will do so) but wish to be paid to do so (otherwise they face a price race to the bottom of the market).
English: Protests against shale gas drilling i...
Protests against shale gas drilling in Bulgaria (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

However even more interesting is that this need to control energy use better is one that even the big controls companies cannot manage, because they focus on hardware and not on selling relationships.

The key must be to gain insight regarding purpose - WHY energy is used.  This can be seen through correlation to time of day and week and weather conditions, but not by studying the control systems because implicit in adoption of the control system as an efficiency yardstick is the assumption that control is as necessary rather than merely sufficient to achieve past political objectives (like those boilers in Moscow ) "!

Utilities will achieve effective demand side management not through the introduction of gadgetry, but by understanding how why and what their clients use energy {for}.  - This is not their current focus - bar some more progressive exceptions.

>>

Conclusion 


So - as markets mature (and competition takes place) commodity markets force profitability out of client bases. The inevitable response options to free-market demands of the utility provider are:
  • To maintain monopoly power at any cost
  • To develop anti-trust cartel practices (I make no accusations here - but others do)
  • To explore market differentiation and segmentation (fight the commodity labelling)
  • To diversify (funding capital projects etc)
  • To add service layers.
Now if you are a Utility and you still don't "get" this - look over your shoulder - you are a little bitty bit-player fish in the biggest global marketplace - You WILL be swallowed !

James

PS - If on the other hand you do "get" this - drop us a line - we can help !

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EnergyCo. wants me to use less - Really ?

OK - it sounds improbable ! In fact it sounds about as likely as going to a great 
restaurant and hearing...

Desserts from JusQytly
Desserts from JusQytly
 (Photo credit: laRuth)

"but wouldn't Madam be happier without that fattening desert ?"

or being greeted at the supermarket checkout with a patronizing...

"Oh but Sir, really ! - maybe we can help you put some back ?"

But they do because...

They have a good reason which makes them more money ! 

So next time they contact you and ask if you want to spend less - maybe, just maybe it's worth listening. I'll tell you why...
English: A look inside a standard, thyristor r...
Inside a standard, thyristor regulated, 500 W drill. (CMI 500E) (Photo credit: Wikipedia)



They understand "why you buy". 


Utility companies sell an easy way of getting a job done !  


Think about it, when you pick up a power tool, say a drill, what you really "want" is holes in the wall - not energy. 

When you switch on the washing machine, what you are "buying" is fresh clean clothes.


Energy is only a means to an end - an easy one. 


English: A photo I took myself of two NiMH AAA...
(Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Convenient costs more - 5,000 times more !

Electricity has to be so convenient, that they don't just bring it to your door, you  have it delivered to special holes in the wall. 




Even that's not enough, we want it cordless and portable: iron, telephone, remote control, iPod - energy - wherever its wanted!




Electricity in an AAA battery costs roughly $890 per unit or "bit" of energy instead of under 10 cents straight out of the wall (which took a huge installation effort ).


Oh and you have to go get the AAA for yourself and dispose of it afterwards ! 


Yes 8,900 times more money for the same thing a unit of electricity http://batteryuniversity.com/learn/article/cost_of_power

So yes they will deliver gas in bottles, but they would prefer to pipe it right to you - because its the most convenient way of selling it !

How do you like your water sir ? - On tap ! that's right. Right - fresh water is a human right!

Example EU energy label for washing machine; s...
EU energy label
(Photo credit: Wikipedia)
So I think most people would accept that what we are buying is in effect "convenience" sold in "units" ! 


 Very few people could tell you what electricity "looks like", or really care how gas combustion with oxygen makes heat.

People want, and pay for - what energy does, not how they get !

It follows, that if you can pay less for a job to be done just as well, you will be just as happy - or actually more happy.

If you use less energy to get the same job done you are just as happy - in fact if you care at all about the environment you are even more happy.


So less energy for the same job is more value !

This means each "piece" of energy is worth much, much, more if it is used wisely.

The visit of the Queen of Sheba to King Solomo...
Wisdom : The visit of the Queen of Sheba to King Solomon
 (Photo credit: jaroslavd)
If you know how to use it wisely - this profit is yours.


If kWIQly helps you to use less and still you get the same value then we can share the benefits.


AND, if the energy company sells you less for the less money - they can still benefit !




They need to produce less energy (they won't, but may just sell it somewhere else perhaps later anyway), you will also pay a modest service charge, which is profitable for them, while still saving you energy and money.

So it is a win-win situation. How can this be ? - Simple, the same job well managed is done for less, and the reduced cost is shared.

Energy management makes excellent sense whether you are buying or selling !

So, tomorrow I will write some more, meanwhile - there are some nice pictures in this post. Five ways weather affects energy bills

See you soon !
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