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2026 United States Senate special election in Ohio

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2026 United States Senate special election in Ohio

 2022
November 3, 2026
2028 
 
Nominee Jon Husted Sherrod Brown
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Jon Husted[a]
Republican



The 2026 United States Senate special election in Ohio will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Ohio. Republican appointee Jon Husted and Democratic former senator Sherrod Brown are the respective nominees for their parties. The winner will complete the term won in 2022 by JD Vance, who resigned in 2025 to become vice president.

Seeking to keep the seat after his appointment, Husted ran unopposed for the Republican nomination. Brown, who represented Ohio in the Senate for three terms until his defeat in 2024, won the Democratic nomination against minimal opposition.

This will be the first U.S. Senate special election in Ohio since 1954.

Background

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After voting for President Barack Obama in both 2008 and 2012, Ohio has trended increasingly Republican in subsequent years and is now considered a moderate to strong red state at the federal and state level. Republicans control all statewide offices, majorities in both chambers of the state legislature, and hold both Senate seats. Republicans also have a majority of the state's House delegation with ten seats compared to five for Democrats.[2]

Republican nominee Donald Trump won Ohio in 2016 and 2020 by 8 percentage points, and in 2024 grew his margin to 11 percentage points.[3] Additionally, Republican JD Vance, now the vice president of the United States, defeated Democrat Tim Ryan in the 2022 U.S. Senate election by slightly over 6 points, while Republican Bernie Moreno defeated then-incumbent Sherrod Brown in the 2024 U.S. Senate election by slightly over 3.5 points.[4]

Interim appointment

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According to Ohio law, if a U.S. Senate seat becomes vacant, the governor appoints a replacement who serves until December 15 following the next regularly scheduled statewide election that occurs more than 180 days after the vacancy. A special election to fill the remainder of the term is then held concurrently with that regular state election, which in this case would be the one on November 3, 2026.[5][6] Governor Mike DeWine chose then-Lieutenant Governor Jon Husted to replace Vance in the Senate.

Appointee

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Considered but not appointed

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Declined to be considered

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Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Endorsements

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Jon Husted
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Party chapters
Political parties

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of April 18, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jon Husted (R) $10,257,823 $2,017,868 $8,239,954
Source: Federal Election Commission[43]

Results

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Republican primary[44]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jon Husted (incumbent) 736,413 100.00
Total votes 736,413 100.00

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Eliminated in primary

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Withdrawn

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  • Lynnea Lau, research integrity executive[47]
  • Fred Ode, venture capital executive[48]
  • Dakota Rose, community activist[49]
  • Chris Volpe, tech entrepreneur[50]

Declined

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Endorsements

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Fundraising

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Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.

Campaign finance reports as of April 18, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Sherrod Brown (D) $24,471,408 $7,956,946 $16,514,461
Ron Kincaid (D) $41,804 $42,980 $0
Chris Volpe (D) $4,337 $4,168 $168
Fred Ode (D) $5,001,938 $4,970,194 $31,744
Source: Federal Election Commission[43]

Results

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Results by county
  Brown
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Democratic primary[80]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sherrod Brown 712,106 89.40
Democratic Ron Kincaid 84,405 10.60
Total votes 796,511 100.00

Libertarian primary

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Former Libertarian National Committee chair William Redpath is running as a Libertarian.[81] Health care consultant Jeffrey Kanter was disqualified from the Libertarian primary due to a protest by Ohio Libertarian Kristen Wichers, who demonstrated that Kanter submitted hundreds of invalid signatures with his candidate petition.[82]

Candidates

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Nominee

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Disqualified

  • Jeffrey Kanter, healthcare consultant[84][82]

Results

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Libertarian primary[85]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Bill Redpath 4,996 100.00
Total votes 4,996 100.00

Other third-party and independent candidates

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Greg Levy, a veteran and community organiser, announced his candidacy in October 2025.[86][87] A member of the Party for Socialism and Liberation (PSL), he filed with the Federal Election Commission as an independent candidate.[87][88] Levy is one of two PSL candidates standing in the 2026 US Senate elections, the other being Joe Tache in Massachusetts.[89]

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[90] Tossup August 20, 2026
Decision Desk HQ[91] Tossup August 28, 2026
The Economist[92][c] Tossup September 3, 2026
FiftyPlusOne[93] Tossup August 30, 2026
Fox News[94] Tossup August 18, 2026
Inside Elections[95] Tossup September 3, 2026
Race to the WH[96] Tilt D (flip) September 3, 2026
RealClearPolitics[97] Tossup August 27, 2026
Sabato's Crystal Ball[98] Tossup August 26, 2026
Silver Bulletin[99] Tossup September 2, 2026
Split Ticket[100] Lean D (flip) August 31, 2026

Post-primary endorsements

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Jon Husted (R)
Executive branch officials
Sherrod Brown (D)
Declined to endorse
Statewide officials

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jon Husted (R) $14,360,028 $4,940,716 $9,419,311
Sherrod Brown (D) $38,566,234 $22,336,493 $16,229,741
William Redpath (L) $24,200 $23,470 $730
Greg Levy (I) $80,348 $56,132 $25,971
Source: Federal Election Commission[106]

Polling

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Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Jon
Husted (R)
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Other/Undecided[d] Margin
270toWin[107] August 6–11, 2026 August 17, 2026 44.5% 50.5% 5.0% Brown +6.0%
Decision Desk HQ[108] through August 28, 2026 September 2, 2026 44.2% 50.1% 5.7% Brown +5.9%
FiftyPlusOne[109] through August 28, 2026 September 2, 2026 44.5% 50.5% 5.0% Brown +6.0%
Race to the WH[110] through August 28, 2026 August 30, 2026 45.6% 50.0% 4.4% Brown +4.4%
RealClearPolitics[111] June 14 – August 10, 2026 September 2, 2026 46.7% 49.3% 4.0% Brown +2.6%
Silver Bulletin[99] through August 4, 2026 August 12, 2026 46.5% 47.9% 5.6% Brown +1.4%
Average 45.3% 49.7% 5.0% Brown +4.4%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[e]
Margin
of error
Jon
Husted (R)
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Other Undecided
Abacus Data[112] August 26–28, 2026 306 (LV) 46% 52% 3%[f]
500 (RV) ± 4.4% 43% 53% 5%[g]
Wedgewood Polls[113] August 11–13, 2026 800 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 48% 8%
Beacon Research (D)/
Shaw & Co. Research (R)[114][A]
August 6–10, 2026 1,008 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 53% 2%
Tulchin Research (D)[115][B] July 29–August 4, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 47% 4%[h] 6%
New York Times/Siena University[116] June 15–28, 2026 601 (LV) ± 4.7% 50% 47% 3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/
Impact Research (D)[117][C]
June 14–16, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 45% 48% 1%[i] 7%
Tulchin Research (D)[118][B] June 2–4, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 46% 4%[j] 7%
Beacon Research (D)/
Shaw & Co. Research (R)[119][A]
May 28 – June 1, 2026 1,015 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 53% 2%
May 5, 2026 Primary elections are held
Bowling Green State University/YouGov[120] April 7–14, 2026 1,000 (RV) ± 4.5% 50% 47% 3%[k]
Echelon Insights (R)[121][l] April 3–9, 2026 413 (LV) ± 5.8% 51% 45% 4%
Quantus Insights (R)[122] March 13–14, 2026 784 (LV) ± 3.8% 46% 44% 4%[m] 6%
OnMessage Public Strategies (R)[123][D] March 3–8, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 47% 8%
EMC Research (D)[124][E] February 10–22, 2026 1,343 (LV) ± 2.7% 47% 51% 2%
Emerson College[125] December 6–8, 2025 850 (RV) ± 3.3% 49% 46% 5%
Bowling Green State University/YouGov[126] October 2–14, 2025 800 (RV) ± 4.5% 48% 49% 3%[k]
Hart Research (D)[127][F] September 19–22, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 45% 48% 7%
Emerson College[128] August 18–19, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3% 50% 44% 7%
Bowling Green State University/YouGov[129] April 18–24, 2025 800 (RV) ± 4.1% 49% 46% 5%[n]
Bowling Green State University/YouGov[130] February 14–21, 2025 800 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 41% 12%
Hypothetical polling

Jon Husted vs. Tim Ryan

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[e]
Margin
of error
Jon
Husted (R)
Tim
Ryan (D)
Other Undecided
Bowling Green State University/YouGov[129] April 18–24, 2025 800 (RV) ± 4.1% 50% 44% 6%[o]
Bowling Green State University/YouGov[130] February 14–21, 2025 800 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 38% 17%

See also

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  1. JD Vance was elected vice president of the United States in the 2024 presidential election. He resigned his Senate seat on January 10, 2025.[1] Governor Mike DeWine appointed Lieutenant Governor Jon Husted as an interim successor.
  2. IUPAT International issued the endorsement with the support of IUPAT District Council 6 and IUPAT District Council 53.
  3. The Economist's prediction model uses unconventional terminology. For the purpose of equivalency, their "Very Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Likely" rating while "Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Lean" rating.
  4. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  5. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  6. "Another candidate" with 3%
  7. "Another candidate" with 5%
  8. William Redpath (L) and Greg Levy (I) with 2%
  9. "Someone else" with 1%
  10. William Redpath (L) with 4%
  11. 1 2 "Someone else" with 3%
  12. Poll commissioned by NetChoice
  13. "Some other candidate" with 4%
  14. "Someone else" with 5%
  15. "Someone else" with 6%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 Poll conducted for Fox News
  2. 1 2 Poll conducted for John Kulewicz, Democratic candidate for Attorney General
  3. Poll conducted for AARP
  4. Poll sponsored by the Insurance Watchdog Coalition
  5. Polling commissioned by Ohio Environmental Council, an environmental organization
  6. Poll sponsored by the Ohio Federation of Teachers, which supports Brown

References

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  1. Fahmy, Natalie; Rees, David (January 9, 2025). "Sen. J.D. Vance resigns ahead of vice presidential inauguration". WCMH-TV. Retrieved March 9, 2025.
  2. Grabar, Henry (November 13, 2018). "Democrats Proved They Can Win Again in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. Why Not Ohio?". Slate Magazine. Retrieved January 18, 2026.
  3. Schladen, Marty (November 6, 2024). "Trump wins Ohio for a third time". Ohio Capital Journal. Retrieved December 5, 2024.
  4. Evans, Nick (November 6, 2024). "Republican Bernie Moreno defeats incumbent Sherrod Brown for Ohio U.S. Senate seat • Ohio Capital Journal". Ohio Capital Journal. Retrieved December 5, 2024.
  5. Burd, Aaron (July 16, 2024). "How J.D. Vance's replacement in U.S. Senate will be picked if he becomes vice president". WCMH-TV.
  6. "Filling vacancies in elective offices" (PDF). Ohio Secretary of State. p. 2. Retrieved November 6, 2024.
  7. Wren, Adam; Cai, Sophia (January 17, 2025). "DeWine passes over Ramaswamy, selects Jon Husted for Senate". Politico. Retrieved January 18, 2025.
  8. 1 2 3 4 Staver, Anna (November 11, 2024). "Ohio Republican Sen. Matt Dolan seeking appointment to fill vacancy left by VP-elect JD Vance". WOSU-TV. Retrieved January 21, 2025. Other names reportedly on DeWine's list include Secretary of State Frank LaRose, former Ohio Republican Party Chair Jane Timken and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy.
  9. Trau, Morgan (July 24, 2024). "Here's what qualities Gov. Mike DeWine wants to see in his possible U.S. Senate appointment". Ohio Capital Journal. Retrieved December 29, 2024. Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine chuckled as he denied interest in appointing himself to the open Senate seat
  10. Kronenberg, Alan (September 5, 2024). "Who Would Take Over for JD Vance or Tim Walz, and Does it Matter?". U.S. News & World Report. Archived from the original on November 16, 2024. Retrieved November 6, 2024.
  11. Andrews, Melissa (December 4, 2024). "Ohio Attorney General Dave Yost says he will run for Governor". WTOL. Retrieved December 4, 2024.
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